Prediction for match Girona — Real Madrid, 30.11.2025

Odds and Outcome Probabilities

In the La Liga match between Girona and Real Madrid on November 30, the betting odds and probability distribution clearly highlight Real Madrid as the favorite. A victory for Real Madrid is priced at 1.47, with a 67.08% chance of this outcome. A draw is valued at 5.23 with an 18.85% chance, while Girona's success is at 7.01 with a 14.07% probability. Both teams to score: yes is at odds of 1.54, and no is at 2.35. Over 2.5 goals is priced at 1.37, while under 2.5 is at 2.80. The odds for Real Madrid to win the first half are 1.86. For double chance, 1X is available at 2.91, and 12 at 1.20. These values reflect Real Madrid's significant advantage in this matchup, but the total markets also look quite interesting in terms of goal potential.

Team Results and Statistics

In their last five matches, Girona has an average possession of 51%, with averages of 2.4 yellow cards, 12.8 fouls, and 1.8 offsides per game. Real Madrid has higher possession at 58%, with 2 yellow cards, 9.4 fouls, and 1.8 offsides per game. Girona's last three matches: November 23 - Real Betis vs Girona 1-1, November 8 - Girona vs Alaves 1-0, October 31 - Getafe vs Girona 2-1. Real Madrid's last matches: November 26 - Olympiacos vs Real Madrid 3-4, November 23 - Elche vs Real Madrid 2-2, November 9 - Rayo Vallecano vs Real Madrid 0-0. In head-to-head encounters: February 23, 2025 - Real Madrid vs Girona 2-0 (Under 2.5), December 7, 2024 - Girona vs Real Madrid 0-3 (Over 2.5), February 10, 2024 - Real Madrid vs Girona 4-0 (Over 2.5). These results confirm Real Madrid's attacking potential and Girona's certain instability.

How Many Goals to Expect?

Over a series of five matches, Girona's average total is 3 goals, and Real Madrid's is 3.2. Over 2.5 goals occurred in 3 out of 5 matches for both teams. In the first half, over 1.5 goals happened once for Girona and twice for Real Madrid, with both teams having 2 occurrences in the second half. Real Madrid scores most frequently in the 31-45 (27%) and 76-90 (27%) minute intervals, while Girona's most frequent goals come at the end (76-90, 44%). Girona concedes in the 16-30 (33%) and 76-90 (33%) intervals, while Real Madrid concedes in the 16-30 (50%). Both clubs average: Girona - 1.4 goals scored, Real Madrid - 2.0, and concede 1.6 and 1.2 respectively. These figures support a bet on both teams to score: yes, considering both teams' average goals exceed 1 and the total in matches consistently remains at 3 or higher. Moreover, in the last five head-to-head encounters, only once did one of the teams fail to score. Both teams to score: yes is at 1.54 - the odds seem justified given the current scoring and attacking structure of both sides.

Corner Totals Analysis

Over the last 5 matches, Girona averages 5 corners, while Real Madrid averages 6. For a total over 9.5 corners, Girona has 3 occurrences out of 5, and Real Madrid has 2 out of 5. Among corner markets, the total closest to the average sum is 11, with odds available: over 11 corners - 2.48, under 11 - 1.48. Real Madrid is considered the favorite in corners with odds of 1.31. It's logical to expect a high number of set pieces as both teams play actively on the wings and create pressure in the penalty area, leading to a high number of corner kicks. In this situation, a bet on over 11 corners seems justified, and individual corner totals for Real Madrid can also be considered.