Prediction for match Girona — Villarreal

Match Analysis: Girona vs Villarreal

On April 6, in the Spanish La Liga, Girona will face Villarreal. The odds are as follows: Villarreal's victory is priced at 2.35, Girona's win at 3.28, and a draw at 3.52. The implied probabilities for the main outcomes are: Villarreal - 41.94%, Girona - 30.05%, and a draw - 28%. Villarreal is the favorite, but the gap between the teams isn't significant, promising an interesting contest. There are also markets for totals, both teams to score, and individual stats, allowing for an optimal betting choice.

Team Results and Statistics

Looking at recent results, Girona's last five matches were: March 21, 2026 - Osasuna vs Girona - 1-0, March 14, 2026 - Girona vs Athletic Bilbao - 3-0, March 7, 2026 - Levante vs Girona - 1-1. During the same period, Villarreal played: March 20, 2026 - Villarreal vs Real Sociedad - 3-1, March 13, 2026 - Alaves vs Villarreal - 1-1, March 8, 2026 - Villarreal vs Elche - 2-1. In their last head-to-head meeting on August 24, 2025, Villarreal thrashed Girona 5-0. Additional stats over the last five matches show: Girona averages 55.6% possession, receives 1.4 yellow cards, commits 8 fouls, and has 2 offsides per match. Villarreal averages 38.6% possession, 1 yellow card, 9.6 fouls, and 2 offsides. These numbers indicate that Girona prefers to control the ball, while Villarreal plays more pragmatically.

How Many Goals to Expect?

The goal profile of both teams suggests a tendency for high-scoring games. Girona's average total goals over the last 5 games is 2.6, with the team scoring 1.4 and conceding 1.2. Villarreal's average is even higher at 3.4 goals, scoring 1.8 and conceding 1.6. For over 2.5 goals, Girona had 3 out of 5 matches with three or more goals, and Villarreal had 4 out of 5. By halves, Girona had over 1.5 goals in the second half 4 times out of 5, and once in the first half. Villarreal had over 1.5 goals in the first half 4 times out of 5, and once in the second. In terms of goal timing, Girona often scores between the 76th and 90th minutes (50%), while conceding between the 61st and 75th minutes (40%). Villarreal scores 50% of their goals between the 31st and 45th minutes, while their goals conceded are evenly split between the 46th-60th and 76th-90th minutes (40% each). This profile, along with frequent over 2.5 goal outcomes, makes considering a bet on over 2.5 goals at 1.78 a justified option for this match.

Corners: Numbers and Possible Bets

Regarding average corners over the last 5 matches: Girona delivers 4.6, Villarreal - 3.4. For over 9.5 corners, Girona had 3 out of 5 matches with 10 or more corners, while Villarreal had only 1 out of 5. The line closest to the average total (8) is set at 8.5: over 8.5 corners is priced at 1.55, under 8.5 at 2.29. Girona is favored in corners with odds of 1.85. Considering Girona takes more corners and often exceeds high totals, a bet on over 8.5 corners seems logical. Additionally, Girona's advantage in corner numbers could be worth considering.