Prediction for match Granada — Castellón, 11.01.2026

Match Analysis: Granada vs Castellón

On January 11, Granada and Castellón will face off in the Spanish Segunda. The odds for a Castellón win stand at 2.49, while a victory for Granada is at 2.96, with a draw priced at 3.31. In terms of outcome probabilities: Granada is at 32.44%, a draw at 29.01%, and Castellón at 38.56%. Castellón is considered the favorite according to the odds and probabilities, but the gap between the teams is not too large, promising a competitive match with interesting betting options. The over/under markets also appear balanced: over 2.5 goals is at 1.97, under 2.5 goals at 1.88. Both teams to score: yes - 1.70, no - 2.04. This reflects expectations of a high-scoring game with chances for goals from both sides.

Team Performance and Statistics

In their last five matches, Granada had an average possession of 51%, received 2.6 yellow cards, committed 12.8 fouls, and had 3.6 offsides per game. Castellón appears more active in these metrics: possession at 55.4%, 3.6 yellow cards, 14.8 fouls, and 1.8 offsides. In their last three matches, Granada lost to Rayo Vallecano 1-3, were defeated by Almería 2-3, and drew 1-1 with Albacete. Castellón, in their last three outings, thrashed Huesca 4-1, lost to Cádiz 0-2, and beat Mirandés 3-1. In their head-to-head on May 25, 2025, Granada defeated Castellón 2-1.

How Many Goals to Expect?

Both teams have shown a tendency towards high-scoring games. In their last five matches, Granada has an average of 2.8 goals per game, while Castellón has 3.2. Granada scores an average of 1 goal and concedes 1.8, whereas Castellón scores 2.2 and concedes 1. For matches with over 2.5 goals: Granada has 2 out of 5, Castellón 3 out of 5. By halves: in the first half, over 1.5 goals occurred 2 times out of 5 for both teams, while in the second half, Granada had 2 out of 5 and Castellón 4 out of 5. This indicates that Castellón is particularly active after the break. Regarding scoring intervals: Granada most frequently scores in the first 30 minutes (29%), Castellón in the 61-75 and 76-90 minute intervals (27% each). Granada often concedes in the 31-45, 61-75, and 76-90 minute intervals (29% each), while Castellón concedes most in the final minutes (76-90, 40%). Overall, the statistics support a bet on over 2.5 goals at 1.97: both teams regularly score, Castellón is consistently productive in the second half, and Granada frequently concedes late.

Analysis of Corner Totals

In terms of corners, Granada averaged 4.4 in their last 5 matches, while Castellón averaged 6. For matches exceeding 9.5 corners: Granada had 3 out of 5, Castellón 2 out of 5. The line closest to the average total (10.4) is set at 9.5: over 9.5 corners is priced at 1.82, under 9.5 at 1.86. Castellón is the favorite for corner outcomes with odds of 2.03. In this match, it makes sense to consider a bet on over 9.5 corners, given Castellón's attacking style and Granada's frequent corner kicks. Additionally, individual corner totals for Castellón are worth attention, as the team often earns more than 5 corners per game.