Prediction for match Granada — Malaga

Odds and Probabilities for the Match Outcome

In the Segunda on February 28, Granada will face Malaga. The odds for a Granada victory are set at 2.28, with their chances of success estimated at 42.11%. A draw is priced at 3.06 (31.37%), while a Malaga win is at 3.62 (26.52%). Among the goal totals, the line for Over 2.0 is at 1.65, and for Over 2.5, it's at 2.30. The option for both teams to score: yes is at 1.90, no is at 1.80. For individual totals: Granada Over 1 is at 1.52, Granada Over 1.5 is at 2.26, Malaga Over 1 is at 2.12. The option for a draw in the first half is at 1.87. For double chance, Granada not to lose is at 1.30, while Malaga not to lose is at 1.65. First-half goal totals: Over 0.5 is at 1.52, Over 1 is at 2.23. In the second half, Over 1.5 is at 2.34, Under 1.5 is at 1.53.

Team Results and Statistics

In their last three matches, Granada played as follows: 20.02.2026 - AD Ceuta - Granada - 2-1, 14.02.2026 - Granada - Real Valladolid - 5-1, 06.02.2026 - Leganes - Granada - 1-0. Malaga's last three results were: 22.02.2026 - Malaga - Albacete - 1-0, 16.02.2026 - Real Sociedad II - Malaga - 2-1, 08.02.2026 - Malaga - Cultural Leonesa - 2-1. In their head-to-head on 06.09.2025, Malaga and Granada drew 2-2. Over the last five games, Granada's average possession is 47.8%, with 2.2 yellow cards, 12.8 fouls, and 2.4 offsides. Malaga's possession is 59.8%, with 2.8 yellow cards, 12 fouls, and 0.6 offsides. In a five-match series, Granada averages 4.2 corners per game, Malaga - 3.8. Malaga receives slightly more yellow cards than Granada on average. Granada records 2.4 offsides per match, while Malaga has 0.6. Over the five games, both teams show stable foul statistics: 12.8 for Granada and 12 for Malaga.

How Many Goals Will Be in the Granada - Malaga Match

Both teams have shown a tendency for high-scoring games in their last five matches: Granada's average total goals are 2.8, Malaga's are 2.6. Granada scores an average of 1.8 and concedes 1, Malaga scores 1.6 and also concedes 1. For Over 2.5 goals: Granada has 3 out of 5, Malaga has 4 out of 5. For Over 1.5 goals, both teams consistently exceed this profile. In the first half, Granada had only 1 out of 5 games over 1.5, Malaga had 2 out of 5, but in the second half, both teams had 2 out of 5 over 1.5. For goal intervals: Granada scores most often in the first 15 minutes (30%), Malaga in the final minutes (76-90, 30%). Granada concedes most between 61 and 75 minutes (50%), Malaga evenly across three intervals: 0-15, 31-45, and 46-60 (33% each). Considering the average scoring of both teams, frequent Over 2.5 passages, and stable scoring stats, a bet on Over 2.0 at 1.65 seems logical for this match. Support by halves and intervals also favors goals in the second half.

Analysis of Corner Totals

Granada averages 4.2 corners per game, Malaga - 3.8, totaling 8. In a series of five matches, Granada had 2 out of 5 games with corner totals over 9.5, Malaga had 1 out of 5. Among the lines for corner totals, the option closest to the average is 8.5: for Over 8.5, the odds are 1.56, for Under - 2.18. In the corner outcome line, Granada is the favorite with odds of 1.52. Based on match dynamics, neither team shows a clear over-profile on corners, but a bet on Over 8.5 seems justified given the average total. On average, Granada delivers slightly more corners than Malaga, and neither team stands out in terms of passing the 9.5 total.