Prediction for match Granada — Rayo Vallecano

Odds and Match Outcome Probabilities

On January 6th, in the Copa del Rey, Granada will face Rayo Vallecano. According to the 1X2 odds, Rayo Vallecano is the favorite with odds of 2.33, implying a 41.59% chance of winning. A draw is priced at 3.24 (29.91%), while Granada's victory is at 3.40 (28.50%). Thus, bookmakers give an edge to Rayo Vallecano, but the probability difference between the teams is not significant, suggesting a potentially tight match. Interestingly, all three outcomes have relatively close percentages, indicating a competitive clash on the field.

Team Results and Statistics

In their last five matches, Granada averages 52.2% ball possession, registers 3.2 yellow cards, 13.4 fouls, and 3.8 offsides per game. Rayo Vallecano shows a higher possession rate of 59.2%, receives 3 yellow cards, commits 13 fouls, and is caught offside 3 times per match. In their last three games, Granada lost 2-3 to Almeria on January 3rd, drew 1-1 with Albacete on December 21st, and lost 0-1 to Sporting Gijon on December 13th. Rayo Vallecano drew 1-1 with Getafe on January 2nd, lost 0-4 to Elche on December 21st, and won 3-0 against FC Drita on December 18th. In head-to-head encounters, the last match was on May 15, 2024, with Rayo Vallecano winning 2-1 against Granada. Additionally, Rayo Vallecano won 2-0 in August 2023 and drew 2-2 in April 2022.

Teams' Scoring Streaks

In terms of scoring in the last five matches, Granada averages a total of 2.2 goals per game, scoring 1 goal and conceding 1.2. Rayo Vallecano's figures are higher: 2.4 goals per match, scoring 1.2 and conceding 1.2. For games over 2.5 goals, Granada had only 1 out of 5, while Rayo Vallecano had 3 out of 5. In the first half, Granada had 2 out of 5 over 1.5, Rayo Vallecano 1 out of 5. In the second half, Granada had 1 out of 5 over 1.5, Rayo Vallecano 2 out of 5. In terms of goal intervals, Granada most frequently scores between 16-30 and 61-75 minutes (33% each), and concedes most often between 31-45 minutes (40%). Rayo Vallecano scores most frequently between 31-45 and 61-75 minutes (33% each), and concedes in three different intervals: 0-15, 61-75, and 76-90 minutes (33% each). Overall, both teams are not high-scoring, but Rayo Vallecano appears slightly more inclined towards high-scoring matches. Given that both teams' average total goals do not exceed 2.4 and their over 2.5 records are not consistent, a bet on under 2.5 goals with odds of 1.70 seems logical.

Corners: Numbers and Possible Bets

Granada averages 4.6 corners per game, Rayo Vallecano 5.4. Over the last 5 matches, both teams had 2 games over 9.5 corners. Among the available corner totals, the line closest to the average sum (10) is 9.5. For this, Granada had 2 out of 5 over, Rayo Vallecano also 2 out of 5. When considering bets on total corners, options include: over 9.5 corners at 2.00, under 9.5 at 1.80. In this matchup, the line appears quite balanced, and the average figures for both teams make the over 9.5 an interesting choice for risk-takers. Overall, both teams are capable of maintaining a high tempo with wing play, which can lead to a significant number of corners.