Prediction for match Grazer AK — Ried

Odds and Probability Percentages for the Match Outcome

The match between Grazer AK and Ried in the Austrian Bundesliga will take place on March 1, 2026. According to the 1X2 odds, Ried's victory is set at 2.32, Grazer AK at 3.03, and a draw at 3.26. In terms of probability percentages, Ried has 40.37%, Grazer AK 30.91%, and a draw 28.73%. Ried is considered the most likely winner, though other outcomes are not unlikely, as reflected in the odds distribution.

Team Results and Statistics

In their last three matches, Grazer AK played as follows: February 21, 2026 - Hartberg vs Grazer AK - 1-0, February 15, 2026 - Grazer AK vs Red Bull Salzburg - 1-1, February 8, 2026 - Wolfsberger vs Grazer AK - 2-2. Ried's last three matches ended as follows: February 22, 2026 - WSG Tirol vs Ried - 1-1, February 14, 2026 - Ried vs LASK - 1-1, February 8, 2026 - Sturm Graz vs Ried - 1-0. In their last head-to-head meeting on September 27, 2025, Ried and Grazer AK drew 0-0. Looking at secondary statistics, Grazer AK's average possession over five matches is 50.8%, with 1.8 yellow cards, 12 fouls, and 2.4 offsides. Ried has 43.8% possession, 2.8 yellow cards, 11 fouls, and 2.4 offsides. These stats indicate disciplined play from both teams, with Grazer AK slightly more in control of the ball.

How Many Goals to Expect?

Regarding goal activity, Grazer AK's five-match average total goals per game is 2.6, scoring an average of 1 goal and conceding 1.6. Ried's average total is 2.2, scoring 1.4 and conceding 0.8. In the last 5 matches, Grazer AK saw over 2.5 goals three times and under twice, while Ried had over 2.5 goals twice and under three times. In the first half, Grazer AK had 3 out of 5 games with two or more goals, Ried only 1 out of 5. In the second half, Grazer AK had over 1.5 goals in 2 out of 5, Ried in 1 out of 5. Grazer AK frequently scores between 16-30 minutes (29%), while Ried scores most often between 31-45 minutes (43%). Grazer AK concedes more between 16-30 minutes (33%), while Ried's conceded goals are evenly spread: 25% in the intervals 16-30, 31-45, 46-60, and 76-90 minutes. Considering both teams' average scoring, the balance of over/under 2.5 goals, and moderate goal figures in halves, a bet on under 2.5 goals seems logical. The odds for this are 1.58.

Corners: Numbers and Possible Bets

Grazer AK averages 5 corners over their last five matches, while Ried averages 4.4. Regarding the frequency of over 9.5 total corners, Grazer AK had 5 out of 5 games with ten or more corners, Ried 2 out of 5. Among available corner totals, the line closest to the average (9.4) is 9.5. The odds for over 9.5 corners are 2.03, and for under 1.65. In the bet on corner wins, Ried is at 1.97. Considering Grazer AK consistently reaches high corner counts, a bet on over 9.5 corners is worth considering, though Ried's figures are less consistent, which should be taken into account when choosing a corner bet.