Prediction for match Gremio — Fluminense, 03.12.2025

Odds and Match Outcome Probabilities

In Brazil's Serie A on December 3rd, Gremio will face Fluminense. The odds for a Fluminense win are 2.61, for a Gremio victory - 2.94, and a draw is priced at 3.15. In terms of probabilities, Fluminense has a 36.81% chance of winning, Gremio 32.68%, and a draw 30.50%. Thus, Fluminense holds a slight advantage according to the odds, but the difference between the teams is not significant, making all three outcomes quite possible.

Team Results and Statistics

Over their last five matches, Gremio has an average possession of 49.4%, receives 3.2 yellow cards, commits 11.8 fouls, and is caught offside 0.8 times per game. Fluminense holds the ball 50.8% of the time, receives 2 yellow cards, commits 16.4 fouls, and is offside 1.2 times. In Gremio's last three games: November 26 - Gremio 3-2 Palmeiras, November 22 - Botafogo 3-2 Gremio, November 9 - Fortaleza 2-2 Gremio. For Fluminense: November 27 - Fluminense 6-0 Sao Paulo, November 23 - Palmeiras 0-0 Fluminense, November 9 - Cruzeiro 0-0 Fluminense. Their last head-to-head match was on August 3, 2025 - Fluminense 1-0 Gremio.

How Many Goals to Expect?

In their last five matches, Gremio has an average total of 3.4 goals, scoring 1.4 and conceding 2 goals per game. Fluminense has an average total of 1.8, scoring 1.4 and conceding only 0.4. Gremio has seen over 2.5 goals in 3 of 5 matches, while Fluminense only once. In the first half, Gremio recorded more than 1.5 goals 3 times, Fluminense once. In the second half, Gremio had over 1.5 goals twice, Fluminense once. By intervals: Gremio most frequently scores between the 76th and 90th minute (30%) and concedes equally often at the end of both halves (29% each). Fluminense distributes their goals across three intervals: 16-30, 31-45, 61-75, and 76-90 (22% each). Given Fluminense's low scoring and strong defense, and with under 2.5 goals occurring in 4 of their 5 matches, a bet on under 2.5 goals at 1.67 seems logical.

Corner Totals Analysis

Gremio averages 4.8 corners over 5 matches, Fluminense 3.8. For over 9.5 corners: Gremio achieved this 3 out of 5 times, Fluminense once. The nearest total with odds is 9.5: over 9.5 at 1.83, under 9.5 at 1.92. For corner outcomes: Fluminense is favored with odds of 2.07. In this match, considering both teams' averages and Gremio's frequency, a bet on around 9-10 total corners is worth considering.