Prediction for match Gremio — Palmeiras, 26.11.2025

Match Analysis: Gremio vs Palmeiras

In Brazil's Serie A, Gremio will face Palmeiras on November 26. The odds for a Palmeiras win are 2.53, while a Gremio victory stands at 3.02, and a draw is at 3.17. The percentage distribution is as follows: Palmeiras 37.94%, Gremio 31.78%, draw 30.28%. Palmeiras has a slight edge, but the difference in odds between the teams is not significant. This match promises to be closely contested, considering the close percentages for a win and a draw. The league standings are not considered here, but both teams are capable of delivering surprises in a given match.

Team Results and Statistics

In their last five matches, Gremio averages 48.4% possession, receives 2.8 yellow cards, commits 12.2 fouls, and has 0.8 offsides per game. Palmeiras leads in possession with 53.6%, but trails in cards with 1.8, while recording 14.8 fouls and 1.4 offsides. Gremio's last three matches: 22.11.2025 - Botafogo 3-2 Gremio, 09.11.2025 - Fortaleza 2-2 Gremio, 05.11.2025 - Gremio 0-1 Cruzeiro. For Palmeiras: 23.11.2025 - Palmeiras 0-0 Fluminense, 19.11.2025 - Palmeiras 0-0 Vitoria, 16.11.2025 - Santos 1-0 Palmeiras. In their last head-to-head on 27.07.2025, Palmeiras defeated Gremio 1-0, with the total under 2.5.

How Many Goals to Expect?

Gremio has hit the over 2.5 goals mark in three of their last five matches, while Palmeiras has done so only once. By halves, Gremio has seen over 1.5 goals in the first half three times out of five, and twice in the second half. Palmeiras has only seen over 1.5 goals once in each half over the same period. Gremio's matches average 3.2 goals, but they score just 0.8 and concede 2.4 per game. Both of Palmeiras' figures are 0.6 per game, indicating low scoring and solid defense. Gremio most frequently scores between the 0-15 minute mark (36%), while Palmeiras scores most often in the 76-90 minute interval (40%). Gremio concedes most goals at the end of the first half (31-45, 40%), while Palmeiras concedes in the second part of the first half (16-30, 100%). Given the low scoring nature of both teams, especially Palmeiras, and frequent under 2.5 outcomes, a bet on under 2.5 goals appears optimal.

Corners in the Match

Gremio averages 4.8 corners per game, while Palmeiras averages 7.6. In their last five matches, both teams have exceeded the over 9.5 corners line four times out of five. The odds for over 9.5 corners are 1.66, and under 9.5 is 2.13. Palmeiras is favored for corners with odds of 1.65. Considering the stable corner statistics of both teams and the high frequency of hitting the over in recent games, the over 9.5 corners bet is a logical choice.