Prediction for match Gremio — RB Bragantino

Match Analysis: Gremio vs RB Bragantino

In Brazil's Serie A, on March 13, 2026, Gremio will face RB Bragantino. The odds for the main outcomes are as follows: a Gremio win is priced at 2.05, a draw at 3.68, and a victory for RB Bragantino at 3.54. Based on the probabilities, Gremio has a 46.81% chance of winning, a draw is at 26.08%, and RB Bragantino has a 27.11% chance. Gremio is considered the favorite, but the gap is not overwhelming, adding extra intrigue to the match.

Team Results and Statistics

In their last five matches, Gremio has shown solid ball possession at 50.6%, with an average of 2.6 yellow cards, 14.2 fouls, and 1.4 offsides per game. RB Bragantino is close in these stats: 53.6% possession, 2.8 yellow cards, 13.2 fouls, and 1 offside. In their last three matches, Gremio played: 26.02.2026 - Gremio vs Atletico Mineiro - 2-1, 12.02.2026 - Sao Paulo vs Gremio - 2-0, 05.02.2026 - Gremio vs Botafogo - 5-3. For RB Bragantino: 25.02.2026 - RB Bragantino vs Atletico Paranaense - 1-1, 21.02.2026 - RB Bragantino vs Sao Paulo - 1-2, 15.02.2026 - RB Bragantino vs Novorizontino - 3-0. In their last head-to-head, on 04.10.2025, RB Bragantino defeated Gremio 1-0.

How Many Goals to Expect?

Gremio has shown high scoring ability in their last five matches, with an average of 4 goals in games involving them, scoring 2.4 and conceding 1.6 per game. RB Bragantino is more modest: 2.4 goals on average, 1.2 scored and 1.2 conceded. Regarding over 2.5 goals, Gremio has seen 4 out of 5 games with three or more goals, while RB Bragantino has 2 out of 5. In the first half, Gremio has 2 out of 5 matches with two or more goals, while RB Bragantino has none. In the second half, both teams have 4 out of 5 matches with two or more goals, indicating high activity after the break. Gremio most often scores between the 46th and 60th minute (58%), while RB Bragantino scores between the 61st and 75th minute (38%). Gremio most frequently concedes at the end of the first half (31-45, 33%), while RB Bragantino concedes in the second half, especially between the 46th-60th and 76th-90th minutes (40% each). Given Gremio's high scoring rate, consistent over 2.5 goals, and second-half activity, betting on over 2.5 goals seems justified.

Corner Totals Analysis

Gremio averages 4.8 corners per match, and RB Bragantino 6.2, totaling 11. For over 9.5 corners, Gremio had no occurrences in five matches, while RB Bragantino had 2 out of 5. The closest line to the average total is 11 corners. For a total of 11 corners, the odds are: over 11 - 2.55, under 11 - 1.45. Gremio is favored in corner outcomes with odds of 1.60. Considering both teams average a fair number of corners, betting on over 11 corners seems logical, especially if the game is played at a high pace.