Tips for match Gremio — Vasco da Gama, 20.11.2025

Match Analysis: Gremio vs Vasco da Gama

The match between Gremio and Vasco da Gama will take place on November 20 as part of Brazil's Serie A. According to odds for the main outcomes, Gremio is valued at 2.29 (41.94%), a draw is at 3.38 (28.42%), and a win for Vasco da Gama is offered at 3.24 (29.64%). Thus, Gremio has a probability advantage, but the gap between the teams is not significant. The odds for a win and a draw are quite close, which further highlights the moderate difference in chances. In recent years, encounters between these teams have often ended with a narrow margin of victory for one side or a draw.

Team Results and Statistics

In a five-match series, Gremio has an average ball possession of 44.6%, an average of 2.2 yellow cards, 14.2 fouls, and 0.8 offsides. Vasco da Gama has higher possession at 55.4%, 2 yellow cards, 12.4 fouls, and 0.4 offsides per game. In Gremio's last three matches: on 09.11 Fortaleza - Gremio 2-2, on 05.11 Gremio - Cruzeiro 0-1, on 02.11 Corinthians - Gremio 2-0. Vasco da Gama in their last three encounters: on 08.11 Vasco da Gama - Juventude 1-3, on 05.11 Botafogo - Vasco da Gama 3-0, on 02.11 Vasco da Gama - Sao Paulo 0-2. The last head-to-head meeting was on 19.07.2025: Vasco da Gama - Gremio 1-1 - the total of 2.5 was not surpassed. Overall, both teams alternate between wins, draws, and losses in the short term.

How Many Goals to Expect?

In terms of total frequencies over the last 5 games, Gremio recorded over 2.5 goals twice, and under 2.5 goals three times; Vasco da Gama had over 2.5 goals three times, under twice. On average, Gremio scores 0.8 goals and concedes 1.8 per match, while Vasco da Gama scores 1.2 and concedes 1.6. The combined average total for the last five matches is 2.6 for Gremio and 2.8 for Vasco da Gama, which is on the borderline between low-scoring and high-scoring dynamics. By halves, Gremio had over 1.5 goals twice in the first half and once in the second; Vasco da Gama once in the first, twice in the second. Gremio most often scores in the 0-15 minute interval (30%), while Vasco da Gama scores in the 31-45 minute interval (33%). Both teams most frequently concede at the end of the first half: for Gremio, it's 31-45 minutes (67%), for Vasco da Gama the same interval (38%), as well as 76-90 (38%). In recent games, both teams show a tendency to score late in halves, but Gremio's attacking efficiency remains modest. The optimal choice based on statistics is under 2.5 goals at 1.79: neither team has a consistent pattern of high-scoring games, and their average goal metrics do not exceed 2.8. Additionally, Gremio's average attacking output is noticeably below 1 goal per game, further limiting the potential for a high total.

Analysis of Corner Totals

Gremio averages 5.6 corners over the last five matches, while Vasco da Gama averages 4. In terms of total corners over 9.5, Gremio has surpassed this in 4 out of 5 matches, Vasco da Gama 2 out of 5 times. The line for the match offers over 9.5 corners at 1.82, under 9.5 at 1.92. A win on corners is more often predicted for Gremio, with odds of 1.70. Based on the statistics, a bet on over 9.5 corners seems justified: Gremio has exceeded this threshold in 4 of the last 5 games, confirming a trend towards a high number of flank deliveries. Vasco da Gama can also keep up with this pace, although their average level is slightly lower.