Prediction for match Gremio — Vitoria

Match Analysis: Gremio vs Vitoria

In Brazil's Serie A on March 19, 2026, Gremio will face Vitoria, with Gremio being the favorite according to the odds: a win for Gremio is priced at 1.86, a draw at 3.64, and a victory for Vitoria at 4.36. The 1X2 probabilities are distributed as follows: Gremio - 51.61%, draw - 26.37%, Vitoria - 22.02%. For total goals, bookmakers offer Over 2.5 at 1.98 and Under 2.5 at 1.86. Both teams to score: yes - 1.80, no - 1.90. There are also odds for individual totals: Gremio Over 1.5 is at 1.94, Vitoria Over 1 is at 2.29. For half-time options: first half total over 1.0 - 1.87, second half total over 1.5 - 2.16. Thus, bookmakers expect moderate scoring with a slight edge for Gremio.

Team Results and Statistics

In their last three matches, Gremio played as follows: March 16, 2026 - Chapecoense vs Gremio - 1-1, March 13, 2026 - Gremio vs RB Bragantino - 1-1, February 26, 2026 - Gremio vs Atletico Mineiro - 2-1. Vitoria's last three matches: March 14, 2026 - Vitoria vs Atletico Mineiro - 2-0, March 11, 2026 - Bahia vs Vitoria - 1-1, February 11, 2026 - Vitoria vs Flamengo - 1-2. On average over five matches: Gremio's ball possession is 50.6%, Vitoria's is 39.2%. Gremio averages 2.6 yellow cards, 13.2 fouls, and 1.2 offsides per game, while Vitoria averages 2.4 cards, 15.6 fouls, and 1.8 offsides. In their last head-to-head on September 28, 2025, Gremio defeated Vitoria 3-1.

How Many Goals in the Gremio vs Vitoria Match

Over a series of five matches, Gremio has an average total goals of 3.4, while Vitoria has 3.0. Gremio scores 1.8 and concedes 1.6 on average, Vitoria scores 1.4 and concedes 1.6. In 5 matches, both teams had over 2.5 goals twice and under 2.5 goals three times. By halves: Gremio had over 1.5 goals in the first half twice and in the second half three times; Vitoria had the same - three times in the first half and three times in the second half. Gremio most frequently scores between the 46th and 60th minutes (42%), while Vitoria scores most often between the 16th and 30th and 61st and 75th minutes (23% each). In terms of goals conceded: Gremio concedes most often at the end of the first half (31-45 minutes, 33%), Vitoria also concedes most during this period (31-45 minutes, 50%). The overall goal and half-time statistics indicate a tendency for both teams to have high-scoring matches, although over 2.5 goals occurred no more than twice in their last 5 matches each. The average goals scored and conceded by both teams support the over 2.5 goals option, with additional support from second-half activity. The odds for Over 2.5 are 1.98.

Analysis of Corner Totals

Gremio and Vitoria average 4.4 corners per match over a five-match series. For the frequency of over 9.5 corners: Gremio had it once out of 5, Vitoria three times out of 5. Among the offered corner totals, the line closest to the average sum (8.8) is 8.5: over 8.5 is priced at 1.53, under 8.5 at 2.24. In terms of corner outcomes, Gremio is the favorite with odds of 1.63. Overall, both teams can maintain a pace in corner delivery, but the total of 9.5 is usually reached in no more than 3 out of 5 matches. For corner bets, it makes sense to consider over 8.5, given both teams' average figures and Vitoria's frequency of occurrence.