Prediction for match Groningen — Ajax

Odds and Match Outcome Probabilities

The match between Groningen and Ajax will take place on March 7th as part of the Eredivisie. Bookmakers favor Ajax, offering odds of 2.38 for their victory, while Groningen's win is at 2.85, and a draw is set at 3.70. The probabilities are distributed as follows: Groningen win - 33.70%, draw - 25.95%, Ajax win - 40.35%. Options for totals and both teams to score are also available, allowing for a bet on an exciting game with goals.

Team Results and Statistics

In the last five matches, Groningen has an average ball possession of 48.4%, receives 2 yellow cards, commits 11 fouls, and is caught offside 2 times per game. Ajax, over the same period, holds the ball 55.6% of the time, receives 0.6 yellow cards, commits 8.6 fouls, and is caught offside 1.6 times. In their last three matches, Groningen lost to Volendam 2-3 (01.03.2026), Twente 1-2 (22.02.2026), and Utrecht 1-2 (14.02.2026). Ajax drew with Zwolle 0-0 (01.03.2026), drew with NEC Nijmegen 1-1 (21.02.2026), and comfortably beat Fortuna Sittard 4-1 (14.02.2026). The last head-to-head meeting was on December 2, 2025, where Ajax defeated Groningen 2-0.

How Many Goals to Expect?

Over the last five matches, Groningen has an average total of 3.2 goals per match, scoring 1 and conceding 2.2. Ajax averages 2.6 goals per game, scoring 1.6 and conceding 1. Groningen's matches have exceeded 2.5 total goals in 4 out of 5 games, while Ajax has done so in 2 out of 5. In terms of halves, Groningen has seen over 1.5 goals in the second half in 4 out of 5 matches, while Ajax has seen this in 2 out of 5. In the first half, both teams have had over 1.5 goals in 2 matches. Groningen most frequently scores between the 46th and 60th minutes (44%) and concedes late, between the 76th and 90th minutes (57%). Ajax scores most often in two intervals: 0-15 and 76-90 minutes (25% each), and concedes at the end of the first half (31-45 minutes, 40%). Both teams have enough attacking potential to score, and Groningen regularly concedes, increasing the likelihood of both teams scoring. Both teams have an average of at least 1 goal per game, with Ajax even higher at 1.6 per game. This makes a bet on both teams to score: yes at 1.50 logical for this match.

Corners: Numbers and Possible Bets

Groningen averages 5.6 corners per match, while Ajax averages 3.6. In Groningen's last five matches, the total corners exceeded 9.5 three times, and for Ajax, it happened twice. The line closest to the average values is set at 9.5: over 9.5 is at 1.84, and under 9.5 is also at 1.84. Considering Groningen's average corner activity and Ajax's not particularly high numbers, a bet on over 9.5 total corners seems justified, especially considering Groningen's frequent exceedance of this number. For corners outcome, Groningen is the favorite with odds of 1.76. Individual corner totals for Groningen can also be considered, given their consistent performance in this component.