Prediction for match Groningen — AZ Alkmaar

Match Preview

On March 22, in the Eredivisie, Groningen will face AZ Alkmaar. Bookmakers have set almost equal odds for both teams to win: AZ Alkmaar at 2.57, Groningen at 2.61, and a draw at 3.70. The probability percentages are distributed as follows: 37.32% for AZ Alkmaar to win, 36.75% for Groningen, and 25.92% for a draw. This balance of odds suggests an open match, and the recent performances of both teams indicate a high-scoring affair. The "Both Teams to Score: Yes" option is at 1.50, reinforcing the expectation of goals from both sides.

Team Recent Matches Review

In their last five matches, Groningen recorded the following results: March 13 - Zwolle vs Groningen 1-1, March 7 - Groningen vs Ajax 3-1, March 1 - Volendam vs Groningen 3-2. During the same period, AZ Alkmaar achieved the following results: March 19 - Sparta Prague vs AZ Alkmaar 0-4, March 15 - AZ Alkmaar vs Heracles 4-0, March 12 - AZ Alkmaar vs Sparta Prague 2-1. Looking at their head-to-head encounters, the last game took place on August 10, 2025, with AZ Alkmaar winning 4-1. On average, over five matches, Groningen had 48.2% possession, 1.6 yellow cards, 9.2 fouls, and 1.4 offsides per game. AZ Alkmaar had 50% possession, 1.2 yellow cards, 8.8 fouls, and 1.4 offsides.

How Many Goals Will Be in the Groningen vs AZ Alkmaar Match

Both teams exhibit a strong over-profile: the average number of goals in Groningen's matches over the last five games is 3.4, the same as AZ Alkmaar. Groningen scores 1.6 goals per game and concedes 1.8; AZ Alkmaar scores 2.6 and concedes only 0.8. For the over 2.5 goals market: Groningen has 4 out of 5, AZ Alkmaar has 5 out of 5. In the first half, over 1.5 goals occurred 3 times out of 5 for Groningen and 2 out of 5 for AZ Alkmaar. In the second half, both teams went over 1.5 goals four times out of five. Regarding goal intervals: Groningen most often scores between the 46th and 60th minute (30%) and concedes towards the end (76-90 minute - 57%). AZ Alkmaar is most prolific in the last 15 minutes (76-90 minute - 40%) and concedes most between the 61st and 75th minute (43%). All of this points to a high probability of both teams scoring and the over 2.5 goals market coming through. The odds for Over 2.5 goals are 1.65, and for "Both Teams to Score: Yes" it's 1.50. Both options seem logical, but the bet on "Both Teams to Score: Yes" appears slightly more reliable based on frequencies and averages.

Corner Bets

Groningen averages 5.6 corners per match, while AZ Alkmaar averages 6.4. In the last five matches, the over 9.5 corners market hit 4 times out of 5 for both teams. Considering the total corners, the odds for over 9.5 are 1.67 and under 9.5 are 2.07. Groningen is favored in the corner outcome with odds of 2.03. Based on average corner productivity and the frequency of the total being surpassed, betting on over 9.5 corners seems justified. Additionally, individual team corner totals could be considered, given their stable performances in recent matches.