Prediction for match Groningen — NAC Breda, 10.01.2026

Match Analysis: Groningen vs NAC Breda

In the upcoming Eredivisie round on January 10, 2026, Groningen will face NAC Breda. The odds for Groningen's victory are 1.70, for a draw - 3.89, and for NAC Breda's success - 5.09. Based on probabilities, Groningen has a 56.47% chance of winning, a draw is estimated at 24.68%, and NAC Breda's chances are 18.86%. This setup reflects Groningen's status as the favorite in this matchup, considering the difference in recent results and statistical indicators. Interestingly, the odds for a total of over 2.5 goals are 1.81, while under 2.5 is at 2.04, indicating some uncertainty regarding the match's goal-scoring potential.

Team Results and Statistics

In their last three matches, Groningen played as follows: 21.12.2025 - Go Ahead Eagles - Groningen - 1-1, 13.12.2025 - Groningen - Volendam - 3-0, 05.12.2025 - Excelsior - Groningen - 0-2. During the same period, NAC Breda played these games: 20.12.2025 - NAC Breda - Telstar - 0-1, 14.12.2025 - NAC Breda - Utrecht - 1-1, 07.12.2025 - Sparta Rotterdam - NAC Breda - 1-0. In their only head-to-head meeting in recent months, on 03.10.2025, NAC Breda lost to Groningen with a score of 1-2. According to secondary statistics, Groningen shows 58% ball possession over a five-match series, records 0.8 yellow cards, commits 9 fouls, and 1.6 offsides per game. NAC Breda has 56.2% possession, 1.6 yellow cards, 10.8 fouls, and 0.6 offsides. These numbers demonstrate Groningen's more disciplined play and slightly more activity in attacking phases.

How Many Goals to Expect?

Groningen averages 1.6 goals scored and 1 conceded per game over the last five matches, with a total of 2.6. NAC Breda's averages are more modest: 0.2 goals scored, 1 conceded, and a total of 1.2 goals per match. Groningen has gone over 2.5 goals in 2 out of 5 matches, while NAC Breda has not gone over 2.5 in any of their 5 games (0 out of 5). In the first half, over 1.5 goals occurred once for both teams in 5 games, while in the second half, Groningen played over 1.5 in 3 out of 5, NAC Breda - none. In terms of time intervals, Groningen most frequently scores from the 31st to the 45th minute (38%), while NAC Breda scores from the 16th to the 30th minute (100%). In terms of goals conceded, Groningen most often allows goals from the 61st to the 75th minute (40%), while NAC Breda has three intervals (16-30, 31-45, 76-90) each accounting for 33%. Overall, the statistics indicate NAC Breda's low scoring and Groningen's advantage in attack, making a bet on under 2.5 goals at 2.04 logical in this matchup.

Analysis of Corner Totals

Over a five-match series, Groningen averages 9.8 corners, while NAC Breda averages 8. For a total of over 9.5 corners, Groningen has 3 out of 5, and NAC Breda has 4 out of 5. For a 9.5 total, the odds are: over 9.5 at 1.78, under 9.5 at 1.90. Groningen is favored in corner outcomes with odds of 1.43. In this situation, considering the high averages of both teams and regular overs in recent matches, it makes sense to consider a bet on over 9.5 corners.