Prediction for match Groningen — Zwolle, 23.11.2025

Odds and Outcome Probabilities

On November 23, in the Eredivisie, Groningen will face Zwolle. According to the odds, Groningen's victory is at 1.61, a draw at 4.08, and Zwolle's success is valued at 5.76. The probabilities are distributed as follows: Groningen - 59.73%, draw - 23.57%, Zwolle - 16.70%. Groningen is considered the favorite, but the gap isn't critical, with the draw percentage at 23.57. There are also additional outcome and total options with a wide range of odds, but the most interesting is over 2.5 goals at 1.76.

Team Results and Statistics

In their last five matches, Groningen's averages are: possession - 50.2%, yellow cards - 1.4, fouls - 9.6, offsides - 1.4. For Zwolle: possession - 45.4%, yellow cards - 1.8, fouls - 9.6, offsides - 1.8. In the last three matches, Groningen played as follows: on November 9, NEC Nijmegen - Groningen 2-0, November 2, Groningen - Twente 1-1, October 30, Sparta Rotterdam - Groningen 5-2. For Zwolle in the same period: November 8, Zwolle - Sparta Rotterdam 1-0, November 2, Heracles - Zwolle 8-2, October 28, Helmond Sport - Zwolle 1-4. In their head-to-head on May 18, 2025, Zwolle won 2-0, with over 2.5 goals. In the other four recent meetings between these teams, there were draws and low scores, including twice 0-0 and twice 1-1.

How Many Goals to Expect?

Over the last five matches, Groningen averages 1 goal scored and 2.2 conceded, with a total of 3.2 goals in their matches. Zwolle's numbers are higher: 2.2 scored, 2.6 conceded, with a total of 4.8 goals. For over 2.5 goals frequency: Groningen had it in 2 of 5, Zwolle in 4 of 5. In the first half, over 1.5 goals for Groningen happened only once in 5, while for Zwolle it was 4 times in 5. In the second half, Groningen had over 1.5 goals 4 times in 5, Zwolle 3 times in 5. In terms of scoring intervals, Groningen most often scores between 46-60 minutes (44%), Zwolle between 31-45 minutes (43%). Groningen concedes most often in the first 15 minutes (43%), Zwolle from 61 to 75 (30%). Considering Zwolle's high scoring and Groningen's noticeable defensive instability, as well as the frequent occurrence of over 2.5 goals for both sides, it makes sense to consider a bet on over 2.5 goals.

Corner Bets

On average over the last 5 games, Groningen takes 5.8 corners, Zwolle 3.2. For over 9.5 corners: Groningen had it in 5 out of 5 matches, Zwolle 0 out of 5. The odds for total corners: over 9.5 is at 1.85, under 9.5 at 1.83. Groningen is considered the favorite for corners with odds of 1.26. Given the statistics, a bet on Groningen's individual total corners over 5.5 at 1.62 seems justified, and the overall total over 9.5 also has a high probability due to Groningen's stable performance in this component.