Prediction for match Groningen — PSV Eindhoven

Match Analysis: Groningen vs PSV

In the Dutch Eredivisie, Groningen will face PSV on February 8, 2026. According to the 1X2 odds, a PSV win is priced at 1.83, Groningen at 3.96, and a draw at 4.10. The probabilities are distributed as follows: PSV - 52.40%, Groningen - 24.21%, draw - 23.39%. In the last five head-to-head matches, PSV has consistently scored at least two goals, with results of 4-2, 3-1, 5-0, 6-0, and 2-4. This indicates a significant advantage for PSV in this matchup.

Team Results and Statistics

In their last three matches, Groningen lost to Sparta Rotterdam 0-2 on January 31, lost to Fortuna Sittard 1-2 on January 25, and defeated Heerenveen 2-0 on January 18. PSV won their last three matches against Heerenveen 4-1 (February 4), thrashed Feyenoord 3-0 (February 1), and lost to Bayern Munich 1-2 on January 28. Over the last five matches, Groningen had an average possession of 53.2%, recorded 2.2 yellow cards, 11.2 fouls, and 2.2 offsides. PSV's stats are: 56.8% possession, 3.2 yellow cards, 10.6 fouls, and 1 offside. In their last encounter on August 23, 2025, PSV defeated Groningen 4-2.

Goals Statistics

In their last five matches, Groningen has an average of 1.8 goals per match, scoring 0.8 and conceding 1 on average. PSV's averages are significantly higher: 3.6 goals per match, with 2 scored and 1.6 conceded. Groningen surpassed the over 2.5 goals line in just 1 of 5 matches, whereas PSV did so in all 5. In the first half, over 1.5 goals occurred once for Groningen and four times for PSV, while in the second half it happened twice for both teams. Groningen tends to score evenly across four different intervals at 25%, while PSV scores most frequently between the 16th and 30th minute (29%). Groningen concedes evenly across all intervals (20%), while PSV has peaks at the end of halves: 31-45 and 76-90 minutes (40%). Considering PSV's high scoring rate, frequent over 2.5 goal outcomes, and Groningen's average conceding, betting on over 2.75 goals at 1.57 seems justified.

Corners: Numbers and Potential Bets

Groningen averages 7.8 corners per match, while PSV averages 6.2. For over 9.5 corners, Groningen achieved this in 1 of 5 matches, and PSV in 3 of 5. The corner total closest to the average sum (14) is the 9.5 line: over 9.5 corners is priced at 1.61, under 9.5 at 2.09. PSV is the favorite for corner outcomes with odds of 1.62. In this match, an active wing play and a high number of set pieces can be expected, considering both teams' high average corner numbers.