Prediction for match Guadalajara — Queretaro

Odds and Match Outcome Probabilities

In Liga MX on January 17, Guadalajara will face Queretaro. According to the 1X2 odds, Guadalajara is the favorite with odds of 1.36, a draw is priced at 4.55, and a win for Queretaro is at 8.40. The probabilities are distributed as follows: 68.46% for a Guadalajara win, 20.46% for a draw, and 11.08% for a Queretaro win. This indicates a significant advantage for the home team in the eyes of analysts. The over/under line for 2.5 goals is set at 1.72 for over and 2.06 for under, suggesting moderate scoring.

Team Results and Statistics

Guadalajara's last three matches were: January 14 - Juarez vs Guadalajara - 0-1, January 10 - Guadalajara vs Pachuca - 2-0, December 1 - Cruz Azul vs Guadalajara - 3-2. Queretaro's recent games were: January 15 - Queretaro vs Tijuana - 1-2, January 11 - UNAM Pumas vs Queretaro - 1-1, November 8 - Juarez vs Queretaro - 1-2. In head-to-head encounters, the last game was on October 23, 2025: Queretaro vs Guadalajara - 1-0. In secondary statistics over a five-match span, Guadalajara averages 51.8% possession, 1.8 yellow cards, 10.6 fouls, and 2.2 offsides. Queretaro averages 42% possession, 2.8 yellow cards, 11.8 fouls, and 1.2 offsides.

How Many Goals to Expect?

Over the last five matches, Guadalajara has an average total of 2.8 goals, while Queretaro averages 2.6. Guadalajara scores an average of 1.8 and concedes 1, whereas Queretaro scores 1.2 and concedes 1.4. Guadalajara has gone over 2.5 goals in 2 out of 5 matches, and Queretaro in 3 out of 5. In the first half, more than 1.5 goals were scored 3 times for Guadalajara and 2 times for Queretaro, while in the second half it was 2 times for Guadalajara and 3 times for Queretaro. In terms of goal intervals, Guadalajara most often scores between 0-15, 16-30, 31-45, and 76-90 minutes - 22% each. Queretaro most frequently scores between 46-60 minutes - 43%. Guadalajara most often concedes between 76-90 minutes (50%), while Queretaro concedes between 61-75 minutes (50%). Overall, both teams show near-over profile indicators, and average goal values support the bet on over 2.5 goals at 1.72.

Analysis of Corner Totals

Over the last 5 matches, Guadalajara has averaged 5.2 corners, and Queretaro 3.8. For over 9.5 corners, Guadalajara has 1 out of 5, and Queretaro 2 out of 5. The total closest to the average sum (9) is over 9.5 corners at 1.66 and under 9.5 at 2.06. For corner outcomes, Guadalajara is the favorite with odds of 1.14. Overall, both teams do not frequently engage in high corner matches, but the average values make a bet on over 9.5 corners logical for this matchup.