Prediction for match Guadalajara — Cruz Azul, 28.11.2025

Match Analysis: Guadalajara vs Cruz Azul

On November 26, 2025, Guadalajara and Cruz Azul face off in Liga MX. The odds for the outcomes are as follows: Guadalajara's victory is priced at 2.40, a draw at 3.22, and Cruz Azul's win at 2.90. The probability percentages for 1X2 are: 38.87% for Guadalajara, 28.97% for a draw, and 32.17% for Cruz Azul. Guadalajara is considered the favorite by probabilities, but the gap between the teams is not too large, promising an intriguing match.

Teams' Results and Statistics

Over the last five matches, Guadalajara has had 55% possession, averaged 1.6 yellow cards, 10.8 fouls, and 1.4 offsides per game. Cruz Azul maintains 53.6% possession, receives 2.2 yellows, commits 12.4 fouls, and 2.8 offsides per match. In their last three games, Guadalajara defeated Monterrey 4-2 (08.11.2025), Pachuca 1-0 (03.11.2025), and Atlas 4-1 (26.10.2025). Cruz Azul lost to UNAM Pumas 2-3 (09.11.2025), then won twice: against Puebla 3-0 (01.11.2025) and Monterrey 2-0 (26.10.2025). In their head-to-head on August 31, 2025, Cruz Azul won 2-1, with over 2.5 goals scored. Overall, both teams come into this game in good form, with a positive balance in recent matches.

How Many Goals to Expect?

In the last five matches, Guadalajara had over 2.5 goals in 2 games, and Cruz Azul in 3. On average, both teams play high-scoring matches: 3 goals per game for both, with Guadalajara scoring 2.2 and conceding 0.8, while Cruz Azul scores 2 and concedes 1. In the first half, Guadalajara had over 1.5 goals in 3 out of 5, and Cruz Azul in 2 out of 5; in the second half, Guadalajara had two occurrences, Cruz Azul three. By goal intervals: Guadalajara's most productive periods are 0-15, 16-30, and 31-45 minutes (27% each), and Cruz Azul's are 31-45 and 76-90 (29% each). The frequency of both teams scoring is confirmed: both teams average over 2 goals, with Cruz Azul's defense allowing 1 goal per game and Guadalajara's 0.8. Considering the attacking potential and frequent goals in different intervals, the bet on both teams to score: yes at 1.68 seems justified.

Corner Totals Analysis

Guadalajara averages 5.8 corners over the last five matches, Cruz Azul 3.4. The frequency of over 9.5 corners is 1 out of 5 for Guadalajara, 2 out of 5 for Cruz Azul. The line for total corners: over 9.5 is priced at 1.93, under 9.5 at 1.81. For the outcome of corners, Guadalajara is the favorite with odds of 1.98. Based on the match dynamics and the average activity of both teams, considering the option of over 9.5 total corners is logical, given Guadalajara's high corner stats and Cruz Azul's occasional spikes.