Prediction for match Guadalajara — Monterrey, 09.11.2025

Odds and Probabilities for Match Outcome

On November 8, in the Liga MX, Guadalajara will face Monterrey. The odds for a Guadalajara win are 2.30, for Monterrey's success 2.88, and for a draw 3.30. Looking at the probability distribution, Guadalajara is rated at 40.07%, a draw at 27.93%, and Monterrey at 32%. Thus, Guadalajara has a slight edge, but Monterrey has comparable chances for a positive outcome. This balance of power makes the encounter potentially tense and interesting for analysis.

Team Results and Statistics

In their last five matches, Guadalajara has an average possession of 55.2%, 1.2 yellow cards, 9.4 fouls, and 1.6 offsides. Monterrey averages 54.4% possession, 1 yellow card, 10 fouls, and 0.6 offsides. Guadalajara's last three matches: November 3, 2025, Pachuca vs. Guadalajara 0-1, October 26, 2025, Guadalajara vs. Atlas 4-1, October 23, 2025, Querétaro vs. Guadalajara 1-0. Monterrey's recent results: November 2, 2025, Monterrey vs. Tigres UANL 1-1, October 26, 2025, Cruz Azul vs. Monterrey 2-0, October 22, 2025, Monterrey vs. Juárez 4-2. Their last head-to-head was on April 6, 2025: Monterrey vs. Guadalajara 3-1, with a total over 2.5.

How Many Goals to Expect?

In their last five games, Guadalajara had over 2.5 goals twice, under three times, and Monterrey had the same pattern: 2 out of 5 over 2.5, 3 under. On average, Guadalajara scores 1.8 and concedes 0.6 per game, Monterrey scores 1.6 and concedes 1.6. By halves, Guadalajara had over 1.5 goals in both halves 2 out of 5 times, Monterrey had 3 out of 5 in the first half, 2 out of 5 in the second. Interval data shows Guadalajara most often scores in the 0-15, 16-30, 31-45, and 46-60 minute intervals (22% each), while Monterrey scores mostly in the 31-45 minute interval (40%). Guadalajara concedes most frequently between the 61st and 75th minute (50%), Monterrey between the 31st and 45th (33%) and 76th and 90th (33%). Overall, both teams have decent attacking potential and allow enough chances for both to score. Given that both teams average more than 1.5 goals scored and over 2.5 goals occurred 2 out of 5 times, betting on Both Teams to Score: Yes at 1.62 seems the most logical based on the provided statistics.

Corner Totals Analysis

For corners, Guadalajara averages 5.2 per game in their last five matches, and Monterrey averages 3.6. The frequency of over 9.5 corners occurred in 1 out of 5 matches for both. The odds for over 9.5 corners are 1.80, under 9.5 is 2.00. The outcome for corners: Guadalajara is the favorite with odds of 1.73. It's also worth noting that Guadalajara's individual total corners over 5.5 are rated at 2.10, and Monterrey's over 4.5 at 2.00. Considering the average corner productivity, betting on over 9.5 corners seems slightly riskier than betting on Guadalajara to win on corners, but a range of 8-10 corners is likely.