Prediction for match Guadalajara — Santos Laguna

Odds and Match Outcome Probabilities

In Liga MX on March 14, Guadalajara will face Santos Laguna. The odds for Guadalajara to win are 1.20, for a draw - 6.55, and for Santos Laguna to succeed - 11.30. In terms of probabilities: Guadalajara - 77.56%, draw - 14.21%, Santos Laguna - 8.24%. This setup clearly indicates Guadalajara's advantage in pre-match evaluations. Options for total goals and both teams to score are also presented with a wide range, but the main focus of the bookmakers is on a confident result for Guadalajara. In the correct score line, options with Guadalajara's advantage stand out, which is logical given the current standings of the teams.

Team Results and Statistics

Guadalajara's last three matches were as follows: March 8 - Atlas vs Guadalajara - 1-2, February 28 - Toluca vs Guadalajara - 2-0, February 22 - Cruz Azul vs Guadalajara - 2-1. In the last three encounters, Santos Laguna showed these results: March 9 - Tijuana vs Santos Laguna - 1-2, March 4 - Santos Laguna vs Cruz Azul - 1-2, February 28 - Querétaro vs Santos Laguna - 2-2. In a five-match series, Guadalajara has an average ball possession of 60.8%, while Santos Laguna has 52.2%. In terms of yellow cards: Guadalajara - 3 per game, Santos Laguna - 1.8. Fouls are recorded at 13.2 for Guadalajara and 14.4 for Santos Laguna, offsides - 2 and 1.4 respectively. In the last head-to-head meeting on August 11, 2025, Santos Laguna defeated Guadalajara 1-0.

How Many Goals to Expect?

In the last five matches, Guadalajara played over 2.5 goals three times and under twice. Santos Laguna recorded over 2.5 goals all five times. The average goals per match for Guadalajara is 2.4, for Santos Laguna - 3.2. In terms of goals scored: Guadalajara - 1.2, Santos Laguna - 1.4, and goals conceded - 1.2 and 1.8 respectively. In the first half, over 1.5 goals occurred for Guadalajara 2 times out of 5, for Santos Laguna - 3 out of 5. In the second half, both teams recorded over 1.5 goals twice. As for goal intervals: Guadalajara most frequently scores between 0-15 minutes (29%) and 31-45 minutes (29%), and concedes at the end (76-90 minutes - 33%). Santos Laguna is most prolific between 16-30 minutes (43%) and most often concedes at the end of the first half (31-45 minutes - 33%). With these figures, a bet on total over 3.0 at 1.50 seems justified: both teams have high average goal figures, and Santos Laguna has a stable over-profile in totals.

Analysis of Corner Totals

Guadalajara averages 4 corners per match, Santos Laguna - 4.2. Over a five-match stretch, Guadalajara did not surpass the total of over 9.5 corners, while Santos Laguna did 2 out of 5 times. When considering the odds for total corners, the line closest to the average sums is 8.5. The odds for over 8.5 corners are 1.33, for under - 2.88. On corner outcomes, Guadalajara is the favorite with odds of 1.07. Considering the average activity of both teams and the frequency of surpassing the 8.5 total by Santos Laguna, a bet on over 8.5 corners seems logical, but matches involving Guadalajara often record a moderate number of corners.