Prediction for match Vitoria Guimaraes — Estrela, 14.02.2026

Match Analysis: Vitoria Guimaraes vs Estrela

In the Primeira Liga on 14.02.2026, Vitoria Guimaraes will face Estrela. The odds for the main outcomes are as follows: Vitoria Guimaraes win at 1.75, draw at 3.66, and Estrela win at 5.40. The probabilities for these outcomes are distributed as follows: Vitoria Guimaraes - 55.49%, draw - 26.53%, Estrela - 17.98%. Vitoria Guimaraes is considered the favorite, but both teams have been showing a high-scoring form in recent matches, which is reflected in the total goals odds.

Team Results and Statistics

Over the last 5 matches, Vitoria Guimaraes has averaged 48.8% ball possession, received 2.6 yellow cards, committed 18.4 fouls, and recorded 1.4 offsides per game. During the same period, Estrela averaged 40.6% possession, 2.8 yellow cards, 17.2 fouls, and 1.2 offsides. In the last three matches, Vitoria Guimaraes played: 07.02.2026 Arouca 3-2 Vitoria Guimaraes, 30.01.2026 Vitoria Guimaraes 1-0 Moreirense, 24.01.2026 Estoril 4-2 Vitoria Guimaraes. Estrela's recent matches: 07.02.2026 Estrela 1-0 Santa Clara, 31.01.2026 Alverca 1-1 Estrela, 25.01.2026 Benfica 4-0 Estrela. Their last head-to-head meeting was on 14.09.2025: Estrela 0-2 Vitoria Guimaraes.

How Many Goals to Expect?

Vitoria Guimaraes has an average total of 3.2 goals in their last five matches, scoring 1.4 and conceding 1.8 per game. Estrela has an even higher average total of 3.6, scoring 1.0 and conceding 2.6. Both teams have seen over 2.5 goals in 3 out of their last 5 games. In the first half, Vitoria Guimaraes has 2 out of 5 games with over 1.5 goals, while Estrela has 1 out of 5. In the second half, Vitoria Guimaraes has 3 out of 5 games with over 1.5 goals, Estrela has 4 out of 5. Regarding goal intervals, Vitoria Guimaraes most often scores between 61-75 minutes (40%) and concedes between 16-30 minutes (57%). Estrela is most productive from 46-60 minutes (33%) and concedes most frequently in the second half - 33% from 46-60 and 33% from 61-75 minutes. This dynamic confirms the over-profile of both teams, especially in the second half. Combining the over 2.5 goals trend and high average goals, a bet on over 2.0 goals at 1.59 seems logical.

Corners: Numbers and Possible Bets

Vitoria Guimaraes averages 4.2 corners per match, while Estrela averages 2.4. In the last 5 games, the total corners over 9.5 occurred once for Vitoria Guimaraes and twice for Estrela. Among corner lines, the totals 6.5-7.5-8 are closest to the average sum (6.6), but only for 9.5 are there a couple of outcomes: total corners over 9.5 - 1.86, under 9.5 - 1.82. For corner outcomes, Vitoria Guimaraes is the favorite with odds of 1.16. Given the average figures, a bet on a moderate total of corners seems justified. Neither team has a strong trend towards a high number of corners, as confirmed by the stats for over 9.5 corners.