Prediction for match Vitoria Guimaraes — Famalicao

Match Analysis: Vitoria Guimaraes vs Famalicao

On March 14th, Vitoria Guimaraes will face Famalicao in the Primeira Liga. According to the 1X2 odds, Vitoria Guimaraes has a slight edge: their win is priced at 2.47, Famalicao's victory at 3.04, and a draw at 3.37. The probability percentages are as follows: Vitoria Guimaraes - 39.29%, draw - 28.79%, Famalicao - 31.92%. For the total goals, bookmakers offer Over 2.5 at 2.14 and Under 2.5 at 1.77. Both teams to score: yes - 1.81, no - 1.90. Individual team totals: Vitoria Guimaraes Over 1 - 1.57, Famalicao Over 1 - 1.80. Double chance X2 is at 1.58. For the first half, Over 1.5 is at 2.99, Under 1.5 at 1.34. For the second half, Over 1.5 is at 2.27, Under 1.5 at 1.59.

Team Results and Statistics

In their last five matches, Vitoria Guimaraes recorded the following results: lost 0-2 to Santa Clara on March 8, drew 1-1 with Alverca on February 28, lost 2-3 to Braga on February 21, won 2-1 against Estrela on February 14, and lost 2-3 to Arouca on February 7. Famalicao in their last five matches won 1-0 against Arouca (March 6), drew 0-0 with Rio Ave (March 1), won 2-0 against Casa Pia (February 23), lost 0-1 to Sporting Lisbon (February 15), and won 3-1 against ABC (February 9). In their last head-to-head encounter on October 26, 2025, Famalicao defeated Vitoria Guimaraes 2-0. Over the last five matches: Vitoria Guimaraes averages 54.4% possession, 2.6 yellow cards, 13.8 fouls, and 2.2 offsides. Famalicao averages 53.4% possession, 2.2 yellow cards, 14.4 fouls, and 1.8 offsides.

How Many Goals to Expect?

Vitoria Guimaraes averages 3.4 goals per game over their last five matches, scoring 1.4 and conceding 2. Famalicao averages 1.6 total goals, scoring 1.2 and conceding 0.4. For Over 2.5 goals: Vitoria Guimaraes has 3 out of 5 matches over, while Famalicao has only 1 out of 5. For the first half, Vitoria Guimaraes has 3 out of 5 over 1.5, while Famalicao has none over 1.5. For the second half, Vitoria Guimaraes has 4 out of 5 over 1.5, while Famalicao has only 1 out of 5. Goal intervals show Vitoria Guimaraes frequently scores between the 46th-60th and 61st-75th minutes (both 27%), while Famalicao scores late, between the 76th-90th minutes (43%). Vitoria Guimaraes concedes most often between the 16th-30th minutes (50%), while Famalicao concedes between the 46th-60th minutes (100%). Overall, Vitoria Guimaraes has a strong over-profile in goals, while Famalicao's defense seems solid, but they still score regularly. Given this, betting on Over 2.0 goals at 1.54 seems logical: Vitoria Guimaraes has a high average scoring rate, and Famalicao has the potential to score despite a low average conceded.

Corner Totals Analysis

Vitoria Guimaraes averages 4.2 corners per match over five games, while Famalicao averages 5. For Over 9.5 corners: Vitoria Guimaraes has 2 out of 5, and Famalicao has 3 out of 5. Together, the teams average 9.2 corners per game. The closest line to this average is 9.5: Over 9.5 corners is at 1.66, Under 9.5 at 2.06. Vitoria Guimaraes is the favorite in corner outcomes with odds of 1.66. Based on both teams' average activity, betting on Over 9.5 corners seems reasonable, but it's worth noting that Vitoria Guimaraes doesn't always hit high numbers, while Famalicao more consistently exceeds high totals. Overall, an active game in terms of corners is expected from both sides, supported by recent match statistics.