Prediction for match Vitoria Guimaraes — Porto, 18.01.2026

Odds and Match Outcome Probabilities

In the Primeira Liga on January 18, Vitoria Guimaraes will face Porto. The odds highlight Porto as clear favorites: Porto's win is at 1.52, a draw is at 4.21, and Vitoria Guimaraes' success is at 7.38. The probabilities for 1X2 are distributed as follows: 63.82% for Porto, 23.04% for a draw, and 13.14% for Vitoria Guimaraes. The line for total goals over/under 2.5 is: over at 2.10, under at 1.80. For both teams to score: yes - 2.16, no - 1.62. For individual totals: Porto over 1.5 goals is at 1.73, Vitoria Guimaraes over 0.5 goals is at 1.87. Exact score options: 0-1 - 5.50, 0-2 - 6.00, 1-1 - 8.00, 1-2 - 8.00, 0-0 - 8.40, 0-3 - 9.50.

Team Results and Statistics

Vitoria Guimaraes has had average performances in their last five matches: possession 53.6%, yellow cards 2, fouls 15.8, offsides 2.4. Porto in the same period shows possession 58.4%, yellow cards 2.4, fouls 14.4, offsides 3. In their last three matches, Vitoria Guimaraes played as follows: 02.01.2026 - Vitoria Guimaraes vs Nacional - 2-1, 28.12.2025 - Casa Pia vs Vitoria Guimaraes - 0-0, 23.12.2025 - Vitoria Guimaraes vs Sporting Lisbon - 1-4. Porto in their last three matches: 14.01.2026 - Porto vs Benfica - 1-0, 04.01.2026 - Santa Clara vs Porto - 0-1, 29.12.2025 - Porto vs ABC - 2-0. In their last head-to-head on 11.08.2025, Porto vs Vitoria Guimaraes ended 3-0.

How Many Goals to Expect?

In a series of five matches, Vitoria Guimaraes has an average total of 2 goals, while Porto has 2.4. Vitoria Guimaraes scores an average of 0.8 and concedes 1.2, while Porto scores 2.2 and concedes only 0.2. For over/under 2.5 goals: both teams have 2 out of 5 over and 3 out of 5 under. By halves: Vitoria Guimaraes has 1 out of 5 over 1.5 in the first half and 2 out of 5 in the second half, Porto similarly has 1 out of 5 over 1.5 in the first half and 3 out of 5 in the second half. For goal intervals: Vitoria Guimaraes most often scores between 46-60 minutes (50%), and concedes between 31-45 minutes (57%). Porto most often scores in two intervals - 0-15 and 76-90 minutes (29% each), and concedes between 46-60 minutes (40%). Given Vitoria Guimaraes' low scoring and Porto's solid defense, and the fact that under 2.5 goals was recorded 3 times out of 5 for both teams, it makes sense to consider a bet on under 2.5 goals at 1.80.

Corner Totals Analysis

Vitoria Guimaraes averages 4.4 corners in their last five matches, while Porto averages 6.2. For over/under 9.5 corners: both teams have 2 out of 5 over and 3 out of 5 under. The combined average is 10.6. For the total corners 10.5, the odds are: over 10.5 at 2.63, under 10.5 at 1.39. For the outcome on corners, Porto is the favorite with odds of 1.36. Statistically, both teams can earn corners, but Porto consistently performs better in this aspect. It's logical to consider the option for over 10.5 corners or Porto to win on corners.