Prediction for match Vitoria Guimaraes — Nacional, 02.01.2026

Match Analysis: Vitoria Guimaraes vs Nacional

On January 2, Vitoria Guimaraes will face Nacional in the Primeira Liga. The odds are set as follows: a win for Vitoria Guimaraes is at 1.98, a draw is priced at 3.48, and a victory for Nacional is at 4.21. The probabilities for the outcomes are: Vitoria Guimaraes 49.04%, draw 27.90%, Nacional 23.06%. There are also options for betting on totals and individual performances, allowing for an optimal choice in prediction. The match promises to be interesting from a tactical standpoint, considering the recent form and statistics of both teams.

Team Results and Statistics

Over the last five matches, Vitoria Guimaraes has an average ball possession of 52.6%, receives 2.8 yellow cards, commits 14.8 fouls, and is caught offside twice per game. Nacional has an average ball possession of 45%, 2.6 yellow cards, 13.2 fouls, and 1 offside. In their last three matches, Vitoria Guimaraes played as follows: December 28, 2025, Casa Pia vs Vitoria Guimaraes 0-0, December 23, 2025, Vitoria Guimaraes vs Sporting Lisbon 1-4, December 17, 2025, Vitoria Guimaraes vs ABC 0-1. Nacional's last three matches: December 21, 2025, ABC vs Nacional 2-2, December 15, 2025, Nacional vs Tondela 3-1, December 7, 2025, Alverca vs Nacional 1-0. The last head-to-head match was on May 3, 2025: Nacional vs Vitoria Guimaraes 1-2.

How Many Goals to Expect?

In their last 5 matches, Vitoria Guimaraes has an average of 0.4 goals scored and 1 conceded, with a total average of 1.4 goals per game. Nacional averages 2.8 goals per game, scoring 1.4 and conceding 1.4. For over 2.5 goals: Vitoria Guimaraes had only 1 out of 5 matches with more than 2.5 goals, while Nacional had 3 out of 5. In the first half, over 1.5 goals occurred 1 out of 5 times for both teams, while in the second half, it was 1 out of 5 for Vitoria Guimaraes and 3 out of 5 for Nacional. Goal intervals: Vitoria Guimaraes most frequently scores between 46-60 minutes (100%) and concedes between 31-45 minutes (67%). Nacional's most frequent scoring and conceding intervals are 76-90 minutes (33% and 38% respectively). Considering Vitoria Guimaraes's low scoring and Nacional's moderate activity, a bet on under 2.5 goals seems justified. The odds for this outcome are 1.76.

Corners: Numbers and Potential Bets

The average number of corners for Vitoria Guimaraes over 5 matches is 5.6, and for Nacional, it's 3. Both teams have 3 out of 5 matches with over 9.5 corners. Among the available totals for corners, the line closest to the average sum (8.6) is 9.5. The odds for over 9.5 corners are 2.18, and under 9.5 is 1.68. Statistically, both teams are capable of earning a significant number of corners, making a bet on over 9.5 corners logical for riskier options. Overall, both teams tend to be active in terms of corners, especially Vitoria Guimaraes.