Prediction for match Vitoria Guimaraes — Sporting CP, 23.12.2025

Odds and Match Outcome Probabilities

The match between Vitoria Guimaraes and Sporting CP in the Portuguese Primeira Liga will take place on December 23, 2025. The odds clearly favor Sporting CP: their victory is offered at 1.44, a draw at 4.66, and a win for Vitoria Guimaraes at 8.15. The probabilities are distributed as follows: 67.31% for Sporting CP's success, 20.80% for a draw, and 11.89% for Vitoria Guimaraes' win. This setup reflects confidence in Sporting CP's attacking strength and their consistent performance in recent matches.

Recent Match Performances

Vitoria Guimaraes, over the last five matches, showed possession at 52%, averaging 2 yellow cards, 12.8 fouls, and 2.4 offsides per game. Sporting CP displays a higher possession percentage at 57.4%, with the team recording 2.2 yellow cards, 13.8 fouls, and 0.8 offsides. In their last three matches, Vitoria Guimaraes played as follows: 17.12.2025 - Vitoria Guimaraes vs ABC 0-1, 13.12.2025 - Rio Ave vs Vitoria Guimaraes 0-1, 08.12.2025 - Vitoria Guimaraes vs Gil Vicente 0-0. Sporting CP's last three encounters were: 18.12.2025 - Santa Clara vs Sporting CP 2-3, 13.12.2025 - Sporting CP vs ABC 6-0, 09.12.2025 - Bayern vs Sporting CP 3-1. In their last head-to-head on 17.05.2025, Sporting CP defeated Vitoria Guimaraes 2-0.

How Many Goals to Expect?

Sporting CP stands out for their scoring ability: in their last five matches, they average 3 goals per game, with a total goal count reaching 4.2. Vitoria Guimaraes averages 1.2 goals, with a total match goal count of 1.4. Vitoria Guimaraes had over 2.5 goals in 1 out of 5 matches, under in 4. Sporting CP, on the other hand, had over 2.5 goals in 4 out of 5. By halves, Vitoria Guimaraes only had over 1.5 in the first half once, and never in the second. Sporting CP had over 1.5 in the first half 4 times out of 5, in the second half 3 times. Vitoria Guimaraes scores evenly across all five 15-minute segments (20% each) but concedes mostly between the 31st and 45th minutes (67%). Sporting CP scores most frequently from the 16th to the 90th minute (19% in each 15-minute segment) and concedes most often in the first 15 minutes (50%). Considering Sporting CP's high scoring rate, regular over 2.5 goals, and decent average goal count, a bet on over 2.5 goals at 1.92 seems justified.

Corner Bets

Vitoria Guimaraes averages 6.6 corners per match, while Sporting CP averages 4.8. In the last 5 games, Vitoria Guimaraes had over 9.5 corners 4 times, Sporting CP once. Among available corner totals, there's a line for 9.5: over 9.5 is at 1.73, under at 1.97. For corner outcomes, Sporting CP is favored with odds of 1.33. Based on Vitoria Guimaraes' average corner activity and frequent over 9.5 totals, betting on the upper corner total seems logical for this match.