Prediction for match Guingamp — Bastia

Odds and Probabilities for the Match Outcome

In the French Ligue 2 on May 2, Guingamp will face Bastia. According to the 1X2 betting odds, a win for Guingamp is priced at 2.32, a victory for Bastia at 2.93, and a draw at 3.40. The probability distribution is: Guingamp 40.42%, draw 27.58%, Bastia 32%. The market also offers bets on total goals, both teams to score, and individual performances. Based on recent matches, the odds for Bastia's individual total over 1 are 1.75, making this option appealing given the current balance of power and scoring statistics.

Team Results and Statistics

In their last five matches, Guingamp has an average possession of 58.8%, records 2 yellow cards, 13.8 fouls, and 1.8 offsides per game. Bastia, over the same period, holds possession 44% of the time, receives 2 yellow cards, commits 14.2 fouls, and 1.4 offsides. In their last three encounters, Guingamp lost to Red Star 2-3 (April 24, 2026), was defeated by Pau 1-2 (April 17, 2026), and drew with Grenoble 1-1 (April 10, 2026). Bastia drew with Clermont Foot 1-1 (April 24, 2026), beat Saint-Étienne 2-0 (April 18, 2026), and lost to Red Star 3-4 (April 11, 2026). In their last head-to-head match on August 30, 2025, Bastia lost to Guingamp 1-3.

How Many Goals to Expect?

In the last five matches, Guingamp's total over 2.5 occurred 2 times, under 3 times, while for Bastia, over 2.5 was only once, under 4 times. On average, Guingamp scores 0.8 goals per game and concedes 1.8, while Bastia averages 1.6 scored and 1.4 conceded. The overall average total goals per match is 2.6 for Guingamp and 3 for Bastia. By halves, Guingamp's total over 1.5 in the first half was once, in the second half twice, while Bastia had it three times in the first half and once in the second. Guingamp scores most frequently between 31-45 minutes (38%), while Bastia scores between 16-30 minutes (33%). Guingamp concedes most often in the first 15 minutes (33%) and between 61-75 minutes (33%), Bastia from 31 to 45 minutes (50%). Considering Bastia's average of 1.6 goals and consistent attacking profile, a bet on Bastia's individual total over 1 seems logical, especially given Guingamp's less reliable defense that concedes nearly 2 goals per game.

Analysis of Corner Totals

Guingamp averages 5 corners per match, Bastia 3.8. Over the last five games, the total corners over 9.5 occurred 2 times for both teams. The most common total close to the average is 9.5. For this, the total corners over 9.5 had 2 passes out of 5 for both teams. In this situation, a bet on total corners over 9.5 seems justified, considering the regular corner statistics of both teams. Guingamp tends to earn more corners, which could affect the distribution of set pieces in the match.