Prediction for match Guingamp — Pau, 08.11.2025

Match Analysis: Guingamp vs Pau

In Ligue 2, Guingamp will face Pau on November 8. The odds for a Guingamp win are set at 2.10, for a Pau win at 3.30, and for a draw at 3.40. The probabilities are distributed as follows: Guingamp win - 44.37%, draw - 27.40%, Pau win - 28.23%. Guingamp is considered a moderate favorite, but the percentage difference between the teams is not very large, as reflected in the odds.

Team Statistics and Scores

Over the last five matches, Guingamp has an average possession of 60%, receives 1.8 yellow cards, commits 11.2 fouls, and records 1.4 offsides per game. For Pau, these stats are: 50.6% possession, 1.4 yellows, 12 fouls, 1.4 offsides. Guingamp's last three games: 31.10 - Guingamp vs Laval 2-0, 28.10 - Grenoble vs Guingamp 0-0, 24.10 - Guingamp vs Clermont Foot 0-1. Pau's last three matches: 03.11 - Pau vs Troyes 1-1, 28.10 - Saint-Étienne vs Pau 6-0, 24.10 - Pau vs Dunkerque 0-3. In their only recent head-to-head on 10.05.2025, Pau vs Guingamp ended 1-3, with over 2.5 goals scored.

How Many Goals Will Be in the Match Guingamp vs Pau

Looking at the totals over the last 5 matches, Guingamp had over 2.5 goals in 2 out of 5, and Pau in 3 out of 5. In the first half, Guingamp had over 1.5 goals in only 1 out of 5, while Pau had it in 3 out of 5. In the second halves, both teams had over 1.5 goals in 2 out of 5. The average number of goals in Guingamp's matches is 2.2, and in Pau's - 3.4. In terms of goals scored: Guingamp averages 1.2, Pau - 1, and goals conceded: Guingamp - 1, Pau - 2.4. By intervals: Guingamp most often scores between the 31st-45th and 76th-90th minutes (33% each), Pau between the 31st-45th minutes (36%). Guingamp most frequently concedes from the 46th to 60th minutes (40%), Pau from the 61st to 75th and 76th to 90th (33% each). Given these figures, considering the difference in defense and attack, as well as the frequency of over 2.5 goals for both, a bet on over 2.5 goals at 2.05 seems justified.

Analysis of Corner Totals

In terms of corners, Guingamp averages 4 per game, Pau - 6.2. Over the last 5 matches, Guingamp did not have any over 9.5 corners, while Pau had 2 out of 5 over. The line for over 9.5 corners is at 1.85, under 9.5 at 1.95. The favorite for corners is Guingamp with odds of 1.73. Considering that Pau delivers noticeably more, it makes sense to look at Pau's individual corner total or the option for over 9.5 corners, although Guingamp had no overs.