Prediction for match Haiti — Costa Rica, 14.11.2025

Who is the favorite in the Haiti vs Costa Rica match?

In the World Cup CONCACAF Qualifiers, Haiti will face Costa Rica on November 14, 2025. Costa Rica is the favorite according to the odds: their victory is priced at 2.10, Haiti's win at 3.30, and a draw at 3.40. The probabilities for the main outcomes are distributed as follows: Haiti - 28.23%, draw - 27.40%, Costa Rica - 44.37%. Based on these numbers, Costa Rica has the edge, but the possibility of a draw is also considered seriously by the bookmakers.

Team results and statistics

In their last five matches, Haiti has an average possession of 48.4%, receives 0.4 yellow cards, commits 11 fouls, and is caught offside 0.6 times per game. Costa Rica averages 39.2% possession, 2 yellow cards, 12.2 fouls, and 1.2 offsides. In Haiti's last three matches: on 14.10 Honduras defeated Haiti 3-0, on 10.10 Haiti beat Nicaragua 3-0, and on 10.09 Haiti drew 3-3 with Costa Rica. For Costa Rica's last three: on 14.10 they won 4-1 against Nicaragua, on 10.10 they drew 0-0 with Honduras, and on 10.09 they drew 3-3 with Haiti. In their head-to-head on September 10, the teams played to a 3-3 draw, with over 2.5 goals scored. Their meeting on November 18, 2019, ended 1-1, which is under 2.5 goals.

Goals according to match statistics

In Haiti's last five matches, over 2.5 goals were scored 4 times, while for Costa Rica it happened 3 times. By halves, Haiti had over 1.5 goals in the first half 4 out of 5 times, but only 1 out of 5 in the second half. For Costa Rica, it's the opposite: over 1.5 goals in the first half 3 out of 5 times, and 4 out of 5 in the second half. On average, Haiti scores 3 goals per match, scoring 1.4 and conceding 1.6; Costa Rica has an average total of 3.4, scoring 2 and conceding 1.4. In terms of timing, Haiti most frequently scores in the first 45 minutes (25% in each of the three segments), while Costa Rica is most productive from the 76th to the 90th minute (30%). Haiti concedes most often in two intervals: 46-60 and 76-90 (29% each). For Costa Rica, 43% of goals conceded occur between the 46th and 60th minute. Given the high average scoring rate, frequent occurrence of over 2.5 goals for both sides, and Costa Rica's active play after the break, betting on over 2.5 goals seems justified.

Analysis of corner totals

Haiti averages 4.4 corners per match, while Costa Rica averages 3.2. In the last five matches, both teams had over 9.5 corners three times. The odds for over 9.5 corners are 2.10, and under 9.5 is 1.67. Haiti is favored in corner betting with odds of 2.10. Considering that both teams consistently earn corners and the total of 9.5 was surpassed 3 out of 5 times, betting on over 9.5 corners seems logical for this match.