Prediction for match Hamburger — Holstein Kiel, 03.12.2025

Odds and Match Outcome Probabilities

On December 3, there will be a DFB Pokal match between Hamburger and Holstein Kiel. Bookmakers have set the odds for a Hamburger victory at 1.75, a draw at 4.10, and a win for Holstein Kiel at 4.58. The probability percentages are distributed as follows: Hamburger - 55.28%, draw - 23.60%, Holstein Kiel - 21.12%. Based on these figures, Hamburger is the favorite, but the gap isn't insurmountable for the opponent. The betting line also offers options for totals, both teams to score, and individual totals, allowing bets to be tailored to different team play styles.

Team Results and Statistics

In their last five matches, Hamburger has recorded 2 wins, 1 draw, and 2 losses. The last three matches: November 30 - Hamburger vs Stuttgart - 2-1, November 22 - Augsburg vs Hamburger - 1-0, November 8 - Hamburger vs Borussia Dortmund - 1-1. Over the same period, Holstein Kiel has achieved 2 wins and suffered 3 losses. The last three games: November 29 - Holstein Kiel vs Hertha - 0-1, November 23 - Kaiserslautern vs Holstein Kiel - 4-1, November 9 - Holstein Kiel vs Fortuna Düsseldorf - 1-0. Looking at the averages over 5 matches, Hamburger has 48% ball possession, while Holstein Kiel has 48.6%. In terms of yellow cards: 2.6 vs 3 respectively. Hamburger averages 13.2 fouls and 2.8 offsides per game, while Holstein Kiel averages 14 fouls and 1.6 offsides. In the last head-to-head on April 20, 2024, Hamburger lost to Holstein Kiel 0-1.

How Many Goals to Expect?

In a five-match series, Hamburger's average total goals are 2.4, while Holstein Kiel's is 2.2. For goals scored: Hamburger - 1, Holstein Kiel - 0.8, and both teams have conceded 1.4 on average. In the last five matches, over 2.5 goals occurred 2 times for both teams, and 3 times under. For halves, Hamburger never had over 1.5 goals in the first half, but in the second half, 3 out of 5 had over 1.5. Holstein Kiel had over 1.5 goals in the first half once, and once in the second half. For intervals, Hamburger most frequently scores between 76-90 minutes (63%) and concedes between 61-75 (50%). Holstein Kiel most often scores in three different intervals: 0-15, 31-45, and 46-60, each at 29%. Conceded goals for Holstein Kiel most often occur between 16-30 minutes (50%). Overall, the goal profile of both teams does not strongly lean towards a clear over 2.5 total but also doesn't consistently stay under. However, Hamburger's average goals scored are higher, while Holstein Kiel's attack is less productive. A bet on under 3.25 total goals at 1.61 seems most logical considering total statistics, average scoring, and frequency of unders.

Corners: Numbers and Possible Bets

On average over 5 matches, Hamburger takes 4 corners, Holstein Kiel takes 5. For the frequency of over 9.5 corners: Hamburger 2 out of 5, Holstein Kiel 3 out of 5. Among available lines for corners, the total closest to the average (9) is 9.5, with odds for over 9.5 at 1.54 and under 9.5 at 2.33. In the corner outcome line, Hamburger is favored with odds of 1.48. Considering the average corner activity and frequency of over 9.5, it makes sense to consider a bet on over 9.5 corners, but the odds for this option are not very high. Additionally, individual stats show: Hamburger averages 4, Holstein Kiel - 5, indicating relatively equal flank activity. Overall, corner statistics do not highlight a clear leader, but both teams consistently maintain around 9-10 corners per game.