Prediction for match Hearts — Livingston, 03.01.2026

Odds and Probability Percentages for the Match Outcome

On January 3rd in the Scottish Premiership, Hearts will face Livingston. According to the 1X2 odds, Hearts are the favorites with odds of 1.36, a draw is at 4.75, and Livingston is at 8.25. The win probabilities are distributed as follows: Hearts - 68.91%, draw - 19.73%, Livingston - 11.36%. This setup highlights a clear advantage for Hearts in the bookmakers' expectations. Meanwhile, the over 2.5 goals is priced at 1.67, and the under 2.5 goals is at 2.17, suggesting a tendency towards a high-scoring match. Both teams to score: yes is at 1.92, no is at 1.79.

Team Results and Statistics

In the last five matches, Hearts have an average possession of 51%, receive 1.6 yellow cards, commit 9.2 fouls, and have 1.2 offsides per game. Livingston lags in possession (47.8%) but significantly leads in fouls with an average of 16, also receiving 2.2 yellow cards and having 1.4 offsides. In the last three matches, Hearts played: 27.12.2025 - Hibernian vs Hearts 3-2, 21.12.2025 - Hearts vs Rangers 2-1, 13.12.2025 - Falkirk vs Hearts 0-2. For Livingston: 30.12.2025 - Livingston vs Dundee United 1-3, 27.12.2025 - Livingston vs Celtic 2-4, 20.12.2025 - St. Mirren vs Livingston 1-0. The last head-to-head encounter was on 30.08.2025: Livingston vs Hearts 1-2.

How Many Goals to Expect?

In their last five matches, Hearts have an average total of 3 goals per match, scoring 1.8 and conceding 1.2. Livingston's average is even higher at 3.6, with 1 scored and 2.6 conceded. For matches with over 2.5 goals: Hearts have 3 out of 5, Livingston has 4 out of 5. By halves, Hearts have 2 out of 5 for over 1.5 in the first half and 3 out of 5 in the second. Livingston is similar: 2 out of 5 for over 1.5 in the first half, 3 out of 5 in the second. Hearts most frequently score between the 31st and 45th minute (43%), while Livingston scores most often between the 76th and 90th minute (33%). In terms of conceding, Hearts are most vulnerable in the final minutes (76-90, 50%), Livingston in the opening (0-15, 33%) and at the end of the first half (31-45, 33%). The goal and total profiles of both teams, along with consistent over 2.5 goals in their matches, suggest considering the over 2.5 goals bet at 1.67 as the main one.

Betting on Corners

On average over the last 5 games, Hearts take 6.6 corners, Livingston 5.6. For matches with over 9.5 corners, Hearts have 4 out of 5, Livingston 2 out of 5. Among the available corner totals, the closest to the sum of the averages (12.2) is 9.5, but only individual totals are offered in the odds. For corners outcome, Hearts are favorites at odds of 1.14. It makes sense to expect Hearts to be more active on corners, and the total corners could exceed 9.5, considering both teams' averages and Hearts' frequency of exceeding this total.