Prediction for match Hearts — Motherwell

Odds and Match Outcome Probabilities

In the Scottish Premiership on 11.04.2026, Hearts will face Motherwell. Bookmakers have set the odds for a Hearts win at 1.94, a draw at 3.42, and a Motherwell victory at 3.85. Probability-wise: Hearts 48.28%, draw 27.39%, Motherwell 24.33%. The most likely outcome is a Hearts win, although the gap between the teams isn't overwhelming. For total goals, over 2.5 is priced at 1.82, under 2.5 at 1.95. Both teams to score: yes - 1.67, no - 2.08. For individual totals: Hearts over 1.5 goals - 1.91, Motherwell over 1 goal - 1.97. For double chance: 1X is at 1.24, X2 at 1.82, 12 at 1.28. For half totals: second half over 1.5 goals - 2.00, under 1.5 - 1.76.

Team Results and Statistics

In their last three matches, Hearts played as follows: 05.04.2026 - Livingston vs Hearts - 2-2, 21.03.2026 - Hearts vs Dundee FC - 1-0, 14.03.2026 - Kilmarnock vs Hearts - 1-0. Motherwell's last three results were: 04.04.2026 - Motherwell vs Falkirk - 2-3, 21.03.2026 - Motherwell vs Hibernian - 0-0, 14.03.2026 - Celtic vs Motherwell - 3-1. In their head-to-head on 29.11.2025, Motherwell and Hearts drew 0-0. Over the last five matches, Hearts had 57.2% possession, 2.2 yellow cards, 10 fouls, and 0.8 offsides. Motherwell had 60.4% possession, 2.2 yellow cards, 10.2 fouls, and 2.2 offsides. The teams are close in these stats, but Motherwell has notably more offsides. In a five-game stretch, Hearts often won by a narrow margin, while Motherwell played in more high-scoring encounters.

How Many Goals to Expect?

In the last five matches, Hearts had only 1 out of 5 games over 2.5 total goals, with 4 being under. Conversely, Motherwell had 3 out of 5 matches over 2.5 total goals. Hearts' average total goals is 1.6, while Motherwell's is 2.8. Hearts score an average of 1 goal per game and concede 0.6, while Motherwell scores 1.2 and concedes 1.6. By halves, Hearts had only 1 out of 5 matches over 1.5 total goals in the first and second halves, while Motherwell had 2 out of 5 in the first half and 3 out of 5 in the second half. Regarding goal intervals: Hearts most frequently score between 16-30 minutes (33%) and concede evenly between 16-30 and 46-60 minutes (50% each). Motherwell scores most often between 31-45 minutes (44%) and concedes in the same interval (40%). Overall, Motherwell tends towards more high-scoring matches, but Hearts has a low-scoring profile. Considering Hearts' 4 out of 5 recent games ended under 2.5 total goals and their low average goal count, betting on under 2.5 goals at 1.95 seems reasonable.

Corner Bets

Hearts average 6.6 corners per game, while Motherwell averages 2.6. In a five-match series, Hearts had all 5 games over 9.5 total corners, while Motherwell had 0 out of 5. The available lines have the total corners over 9.5 at 2.09, under 9.5 at 1.71. For corner outcomes, Hearts are favorites at 1.37. In this match, it makes sense to consider a bet on Hearts' individual total corners over 5.5, as the team consistently delivers many corners, while Motherwell rarely exceeds the average in this metric. Also, consider the total corners over 9.5, given Hearts' frequent occurrences.