Prediction for match Hearts — St. Mirren, 14.01.2026

Odds and Outcome Probabilities

In the Scottish Premiership on January 14, Hearts will face St. Mirren. The odds for the outcomes are: Hearts win at 1.45, draw at 4.33, and St. Mirren win at 6.80. The probabilities for 1X2 are distributed as follows: Hearts 64.59%, draw 21.63%, St. Mirren 13.77%. Hearts is considered the favorite, but the odds on totals and additional outcomes are also worth attention. The odds for under 2.5 goals are 1.89, and for over 2.5 goals also 1.89, indicating balanced expectations regarding goal scoring.

Team Results and Statistics

In their last five matches, Hearts average 54.6% possession, 0.8 yellow cards, 10 fouls, and 0.4 offsides per game. St. Mirren falls behind with 48% possession, 1.8 yellow cards, 11.2 fouls, and 2.4 offsides. Recent Hearts matches: 11.01.2026 Dundee FC - Hearts 0-1, 03.01.2026 Hearts - Livingston 1-0, 27.12.2025 Hibernian - Hearts 3-2. For St. Mirren: 10.01.2026 St. Mirren - Falkirk 0-2, 03.01.2026 Motherwell - St. Mirren 2-0, 30.12.2025 Rangers - St. Mirren 2-1. In their head-to-head on 29.10.2025, St. Mirren and Hearts drew 2-2.

How Many Goals to Expect?

In the last five matches, Hearts have an average total of 2.4 goals, while St. Mirren has 1.6. Hearts score 1.6 and concede 0.8, St. Mirren score 0.4 and concede 1.2. For over 2.5 goals: Hearts hit this in 2 out of 5, St. Mirren only 1 out of 5, indicating a trend towards low scoring. For first-half over 1.5 goals, Hearts achieved this in 2 out of 5, St. Mirren 0 out of 5. For second-half over 1.5: Hearts 1 out of 5, St. Mirren 2 out of 5. Hearts most frequently score between 31-45 minutes (50%), St. Mirren between 31-45 and 46-60 (40% each). Both teams often concede late: 76-90 minutes - 50% each. Given St. Mirren's low scoring and Hearts' moderate scoring, a bet on under 2.5 goals seems justified.

Corner Totals Analysis

Hearts average 6.4 corners, St. Mirren 6.8 per game. In the last five matches, Hearts saw over 9.5 total corners 5 times out of 5, St. Mirren 4 out of 5. The line for total corners is over 9.5 at 1.42, under 9.5 at 2.53. Hearts are favorites in corner outcomes with odds of 1.08. Considering the high average number of corners and frequent occurrences of over 9.5, betting on over 9.5 corners seems logical.