Prediction for match Heerenveen — Waalwijk, 15.01.2026

Match Analysis: Heerenveen vs Waalwijk

The KNVB Beker continues to present exciting matchups, and the clash between Heerenveen and Waalwijk promises to be eventful. Bookmakers have a clear favorite: Heerenveen's victory is priced at 1.35, a draw at 5.00, and Waalwijk's success at 7.85. The probability percentages are distributed as follows: 69.35% for Heerenveen, 18.72% for a draw, and 11.93% for Waalwijk. The over/under goals market offers a wide range, but the odds on the higher totals are particularly appealing, reflecting the attacking potential of both teams.

Team Results and Statistics

In their last five matches, Heerenveen has an average possession of 48.2%, with 1.4 yellow cards, 14.4 fouls, and 1.2 offsides per game. Waalwijk shows slightly better control with 57% possession, along with 1.4 yellow cards, 12 fouls, and 1.2 offsides. Heerenveen's last three matches: 11.01.2026 - Heerenveen 2-2 Feyenoord, 20.12.2025 - Heracles 0-3 Heerenveen, 17.12.2025 - Feyenoord 2-3 Heerenveen. Waalwijk's recent games: 22.12.2025 - Jong Ajax 0-2 Waalwijk, 10.12.2025 - Vitesse 2-1 Waalwijk, 05.12.2025 - Waalwijk 1-2 VVV-Venlo. In their last head-to-head on 10.05.2025, Waalwijk defeated Heerenveen 3-1.

How Many Goals to Expect?

Heerenveen has been impressive in terms of scoring: over 5 matches, the average total goals is 3.4, with them scoring 2.2 and conceding 1.2. Waalwijk averages 2.6 goals, scoring 1.2 and conceding 1.4. In Heerenveen's last five games, 4 out of 5 went over 2.5 goals, while Waalwijk had 3 out of 5. By halves, Heerenveen had 2 out of 5 games with over 1.5 goals in the first half and 3 out of 5 in the second, while Waalwijk had 0 in the first and 3 in the second. Heerenveen most frequently scores between the 76th and 90th minutes (50%), while Waalwijk scores 29% of their goals in the 0-15, 46-60, and 76-90 minute intervals. Heerenveen concedes most in the 16-30 minute range (38%), and Waalwijk in the 46-60 range (50%). Given Heerenveen's high scoring rate, frequent over 2.5 totals, and second-half activity, betting on over 3.0 goals at 1.66 seems logical.

Corners: Numbers and Possible Bets

Heerenveen averages 6.4 corners per match, while Waalwijk averages 5. In the last five matches, Heerenveen had 3 out of 5 games with over 9.5 total corners, and Waalwijk had 2 out of 5. The line for total corners offers: over 11.5 at 2.45, under 11.5 at 1.48. The combined average of both teams is 11.4, close to the chosen total. Given the statistics, both teams can maintain a high pace in delivering corners, making a bet on over 11.5 total corners reasonable for risk-takers. Overall, the match promises to be lively in terms of corners, considering Heerenveen's attacking style and Waalwijk's set-piece activity.