Prediction for match Heracles — Ajax

Odds and Probability Percentages for the Match Outcome

In the Dutch Eredivisie on 11.04.2026, Heracles faces Ajax. The 1X2 odds are quite clear: Ajax to win is priced at 1.57, a draw at 4.46, and Heracles to win at 5.50. Based on current form and statistics, Ajax has a 61.07% chance of winning. The probability of a draw is 21.50%, and a Heracles victory is at 17.43%. This reflects the difference in class and current form of the teams, as well as their recent results.

Team Results and Statistics

Over their last five matches, Heracles averages 43.4% possession, receives 2 yellow cards, commits 14.8 fouls, and is caught offside 1 time per game. Ajax, on the other hand, averages 55.2% possession, 2 yellow cards, 10.6 fouls, and 1.2 offsides. Heracles' last three matches were: 05.04.2026 - Heerenveen vs Heracles 4-1, 20.03.2026 - Heracles vs Excelsior 1-1, 15.03.2026 - AZ Alkmaar vs Heracles 4-0. Ajax's recent matches were: 04.04.2026 - Ajax vs Twente 1-2, 22.03.2026 - Feyenoord vs Ajax 1-1, 14.03.2026 - Ajax vs Sparta Rotterdam 4-0. The last head-to-head match was on 24.08.2025: Ajax vs Heracles 2-0.

Goalscoring Trends

In their last five matches, both teams have seen over 2.5 goals three times. For Heracles, it was 3 out of 5, and for Ajax, also 3 out of 5. Heracles averages exactly 3 goals per match, while Ajax averages 2.6. In terms of goals scored: Heracles scores 0.6, and Ajax scores 1.4 per game, with Heracles conceding 2.4 and Ajax 1.2. In the first half, more than 1.5 goals were recorded in 3 out of 5 matches for both teams, while in the second half, it was 2 out of 5 for Heracles and 3 out of 5 for Ajax. As for goal intervals: Heracles most often scores between the 31st and 45th minutes and the 76th and 90th minutes (30% each), while Ajax scores most frequently between the 61st and 75th minutes (33%). Heracles concedes most often in the first 15 minutes (40%), while Ajax concedes between the 16th and 30th minutes (50%). This statistics suggest both teams are prone to high-scoring matches, especially considering Heracles' unstable defense and Ajax's consistent scoring of more than one goal per game. Betting on over 2.75 goals at 1.58 seems logical, given the frequency of over 2.5 goals and the average goals per match and half.

Corners: Numbers and Potential Bets

On average, Heracles earns 3.4 corners per match, and Ajax 3.8. In the last five matches, both teams have exceeded the 9.5 corners total twice. When considering the total corners, the line closest to the average is 7.5, but the odds include a pair for 9.5 corners: over 9.5 corners - odds not specified, under 9.5 - odds not specified. Based on this data, the match is not expected to set a record for corners, but standard figures for both teams remain. A bet on a total corners around 8-10 seems reasonable, considering the average figures for both teams in recent matches.