Prediction for match Hertha — Freiburg, 10.02.2026

Match Analysis: Hertha vs Freiburg

The DFB Pokal continues to deliver intriguing matchups, and on February 10th, Hertha will face Freiburg. According to the 1X2 odds, Freiburg is the favorite: their victory is priced at 2.26, Hertha's win is at 3.46, and a draw is at 3.52. The probability distribution is as follows: 28.46% for a Hertha win, 27.97% for a draw, and 43.57% for a Freiburg victory. This spread reflects Freiburg's current form and statistics advantage, but Hertha is also capable of putting up a fight.

Team Results and Statistics

In their last five matches, Hertha has an average possession of 53.2%, receives 2.2 yellow cards, commits 11.4 fouls, and is caught offside 2.4 times per game. Freiburg, over the same period, shows 41% possession, 0.4 yellow cards, 10.6 fouls, and 0.4 offsides. Hertha's last three matches: 07.02.2026 - Elversberg vs Hertha 0-3, 01.02.2026 - Hertha vs Darmstadt 2-2, 24.01.2026 - Karlsruhe vs Hertha 2-2. Freiburg's: 07.02.2026 - Freiburg vs Werder 1-0, 01.02.2026 - Stuttgart vs Freiburg 1-0, 29.01.2026 - Lille vs Freiburg 1-0. Their last head-to-head on 01.04.2023 ended 1-1.

How Many Goals to Expect?

In their last five matches, Hertha averages 2.6 goals per game, scoring 1.6 and conceding 1. Freiburg's figures are more modest: 1.4 total goals, 0.8 scored and 0.6 conceded. Regarding over 2.5 goals, Hertha had 3 out of 5 matches over, while Freiburg had only 1 out of 5. By halves, Hertha played over 1.5 in the first and second halves twice out of five, Freiburg once in the first and never in the second. Hertha most frequently scores in the 0-15 minute interval (60%), and concedes late (76-90, 38%). Freiburg scores most often late (76-90, 43%), and concedes only early (0-15, 100%). These numbers indicate Hertha plays more productively, while Freiburg tends to play conservatively. Combined, with Hertha's average productivity and Freiburg's cautious approach, betting on under 2.5 goals at 2.06 seems justified: Hertha has an over-profile, but Freiburg consistently keeps games tight, with only one goal in their last three matches. Also, three out of five of Hertha's matches ended with two or fewer goals, and four out of five of Freiburg's were low-scoring. By halves, neither team tends to be very active in the second half, further supporting the idea of a low-scoring outcome.

Corner Totals Analysis

Hertha averages 4.6 corners over five matches, Freiburg 3.6. Regarding over 9.5 corners: Hertha had 2 out of 5, Freiburg 3 out of 5. Looking at the odds, the total closest to the average corners (8.2) is 8.5: over 8.5 is at 1.50, under 8.5 at 2.34. For corners outcome, Freiburg is at 1.98, Hertha at 2.16. There is no strong basis to expect a high number of corners: both teams rarely exceed 9-10 deliveries, and betting on over 8.5 corners seems most logical, considering the balance of average values and passage frequencies.