Prediction for match HNK Gorica — HNK Rijeka

Odds and Probabilities for the Match Outcome

In the Croatian Championship, HNK Gorica will face HNK Rijeka on 22.03.2026. According to the main odds for the outcome: Rijeka's victory is priced at 2.29, while a draw and a win for HNK Gorica are both at 3.14. The probabilities are distributed as follows: Rijeka - 40.67%, HNK Gorica - 29.66%, draw - 29.66%. Based on this data, Rijeka stands out as the most likely winner, but the gap is not significant, and a draw is also highly rated. Meanwhile, the odds for over 2.0 goals are 1.58, and for over 2.5 goals, it's 2.16, indicating modest expectations for goals.

Team Results and Statistics

In their last five matches, HNK Gorica averages 42.2% possession, 1.2 yellow cards, 11.4 fouls, and 2.8 offsides per game. Rijeka shows slightly more activity with 50.4% possession, 2.2 yellow cards, 12.4 fouls, and 1.6 offsides. HNK Gorica's last three matches: 14.03.2026 - Osijek - HNK Gorica 0-0, 07.03.2026 - HNK Gorica - Slaven Belupo 2-2, 01.03.2026 - Dinamo Zagreb - HNK Gorica 4-2. Rijeka's last three games: 19.03.2026 - Strasbourg - Rijeka 1-1, 15.03.2026 - Rijeka - Istra 1961 0-2, 12.03.2026 - Rijeka - Strasbourg 1-2. In their head-to-head clash, the last meeting was on 21.12.2025: Rijeka - HNK Gorica 1-0.

Goals Statistics

In terms of goals, HNK Gorica has an average of 2.4 goals per match over the last five games, scoring and conceding 1.2 each. Rijeka's averages are more modest: 2.0 goals per game, scoring and conceding 1 each. For over 2.5 goals, HNK Gorica has 2 out of 5, while Rijeka has only 1 out of 5. In the first half, over 1.5 goals occurred once for both teams, while in the second half, HNK Gorica had it twice, Rijeka once. HNK Gorica's most frequent scoring periods are 0-15 and 61-75 minutes (33% each), while Rijeka's is 76-90 (50%). HNK Gorica concedes most often in the 31-45 and 76-90 minutes (33% each), Rijeka in the 0-15 (50%). Overall, neither team shows a strong over-profile for goals, but HNK Gorica is slightly closer to over 2.0 goals, as confirmed by their average performance. A bet on over 2.0 goals at 1.58 seems logical, considering both teams have decent average goals, and HNK Gorica has been involved in high-scoring matches recently.

Analysis of Corner Totals

For average corner kicks, HNK Gorica earns 4.4 per game, Rijeka 6. In the last five matches, the total corners over 9.5 was achieved once by HNK Gorica and three times by Rijeka. Among the available corner totals, 9.5 is closest to the sum of the averages: over 9.5 corners is priced at 2.49, under 9.5 at 1.45. Rijeka is favored in corners with odds of 1.72. Statistically, both teams are capable of earning enough corners, but the total of 9.5 is rarely exceeded, so a bet on under 9.5 corners seems slightly more reliable. Meanwhile, Rijeka consistently delivers more, as confirmed by their averages and the frequency of exceeding the total.