Prediction for match HNK Gorica — Istra 1961, 23.11.2025

Match Analysis: HNK Gorica vs Istra 1961

In the Croatian league, HNK Gorica will face Istra 1961 on November 23. According to the odds: Gorica's win is at 2.40, Istra 1961 is at 2.87, and a draw is 3.25. The 1X2 percentages are: Gorica has a 38.84% chance of winning, Istra has 32.48%, and a draw is at 28.68%. There is no clear favorite, though HNK Gorica has a slight edge in probability. This setup suggests a competitive match from both sides. The initial odds reflect the balance of power between the teams, so an easy victory for either side is unlikely.

Team Results and Statistics

Looking at ball possession over the last five matches, Gorica has 52.6%, while Istra has 48.6%. The average number of yellow cards is the same at 2.6, fouls are 10.8 for Gorica and 12.2 for Istra, and offsides are 2 for Gorica against 1.6 for Istra. In their last five matches, Gorica played as follows: November 7 - Gorica vs Vukovar 1-1, November 3 - Gorica vs Lokomotiva Zagreb 4-1, October 24 - Gorica vs Hajduk Split 1-3. Istra 1961 in their last five games: November 9 - Istra 1961 vs Dinamo Zagreb 2-1, November 1 - Istra 1961 vs Vukovar 1-1, October 25 - Lokomotiva Zagreb vs Istra 1961 1-2. In their head-to-head on August 29, Istra 1961 won against Gorica 1-0 - the total under 2.5 was successful.

Goals Statistics

In the last five games, Gorica's average total goals are 3.8, while Istra's are 2.4. Gorica scores an average of 1.6 and concedes 2.2, while Istra scores 1.2 and concedes 1.2. For over 2.5 goals: Gorica has 4 out of 5 games over, Istra has 3 out of 5. For the first half: Gorica has 2 out of 5 over 1.5, Istra has 4 out of 5. In the second half, Gorica has 4 out of 5 over 1.5, while Istra has none (0 out of 5 over 1.5). The most common interval for Gorica's goals is 76-90 minutes (63%), for Istra it's 0-15 (60%). Gorica concedes most often at the start of the first (27%) and second halves (27%), Istra in the final minutes (76-90, 43%). Based on this data, a bet on over 2.5 goals at 2.02 seems justified: both teams have a tendency to score, Gorica has a high over total, and Istra is not far behind in attacking stats.

Corners in the Match

For the average number of corners over 5 matches: Gorica has 4.4, Istra has 3.2. The frequency of over 9.5 corners: Gorica 3 out of 5, Istra 2 out of 5. The line for over 9.5 corners is at 2.12, under 8.25 at 2.21. Victory in corners for Istra is at 2.07, for Gorica at 2.20. Based on statistics, both teams do not produce many corners, but Gorica shows a slightly higher tendency towards attacking play and earning corners. It is reasonable to consider cautious bets on total corners around 8-9.5, as well as the option for Gorica's individual total corners over 4.5 (1.97).