Prediction for match HNK Gorica — Vukovar

Odds and Match Outcome Probabilities

In the upcoming HNL match between HNK Gorica and Vukovar, scheduled for 15.02.2026, the bookmakers have HNK Gorica as the favorite: a win for them is priced at 1.75. A draw is at 3.60, while a victory for Vukovar is at 4.48. According to probability percentages, HNK Gorica has a 53.28% chance of winning, a draw is at 25.90%, and Vukovar's chances are 20.81%. Besides the match outcome, there are also bets available on total goals, both teams to score, and individual totals, offering a variety of options for predictions. The match promises to be intriguing in terms of statistics and potential goal events.

Team Results and Statistics

In their last five matches, HNK Gorica has an average possession of 44.2%, with 1.6 yellow cards, 12.2 fouls, and 1.2 offsides per game. Vukovar, in comparison, averages 41.4% possession, 2.6 yellow cards, 12 fouls, and 1.6 offsides. In their last three matches, HNK Gorica lost to Lokomotiva Zagreb 0-3 (06.02.2026), defeated Hajduk Split 1-0 (31.01.2026), and lost to Varazdin 1-2 (26.01.2026). Vukovar, in their last three games, beat Istra 1961 3-2 (07.02.2026), lost to Dinamo Zagreb 1-3 (02.02.2026), and were defeated by Lokomotiva Zagreb 1-2 (24.01.2026). In their head-to-head match on 07.11.2025, the teams drew 1-1.

How Many Goals to Expect?

In the last five matches, HNK Gorica's games went over 2.5 goals twice, while under 2.5 goals occurred three times. Conversely, Vukovar's matches went over 2.5 goals in four out of five games. In the first half, HNK Gorica had over 1.5 goals twice, while Vukovar had it once. In the second half, HNK Gorica went over 1.5 goals only once, whereas Vukovar managed it in all five games. The average number of goals in HNK Gorica's last five matches is 2, with the team scoring 0.6 and conceding 1.4 per game. Vukovar's average total is 3.4, with 1.6 goals scored and 1.8 conceded. HNK Gorica most frequently scores between the 16th-30th and 46th-60th minutes (29% each), while Vukovar scores most often between the 61st-75th minutes (31%). Both teams concede most frequently in the 61st-75th minute interval (40% each). Considering Vukovar's high scoring rate, frequent over 2.5 goal matches, and HNK Gorica's less reliable defense, a bet on over 2.5 goals at 1.84 seems justified.

Analysis of Corner Totals

On average, HNK Gorica takes 4.8 corners per match, while Vukovar takes 3.6. In the last five games, HNK Gorica's matches had over 9.5 corners five times, while Vukovar's had it once. Among the available totals, the closest to the average sum (8.4) is the 8.5 line: over 8.5 corners is priced at 1.69, under 8.5 at 2.04. There's also a bet on winning the corner count: HNK Gorica is the favorite at 1.48. Based on the average activity of both teams and the frequent occurrence of over 9.5 corners in HNK Gorica's matches, considering a bet on over 8.5 corners is logical.