Prediction for match Hajduk Split — HNK Rijeka

Odds and Outcome Probability

In the Croatian HNL on February 22, 2026, Hajduk Split will face HNK Rijeka. The odds for the match are as follows: a win for Hajduk Split is priced at 1.97, a draw at 3.28, and a win for Rijeka at 3.82. The probability percentages for a 1X2 outcome are: Hajduk Split - 47.25%, draw - 28.38%, Rijeka - 24.37%. The most likely outcome is a victory for Hajduk Split, but a draw cannot be ruled out based on the odds and percentages. The match promises to be intense, considering the balance of power and recent match statistics.

Team Results and Statistics

In their last five matches, Hajduk Split shows high ball possession at 64.4%, averages 2.6 yellow cards, 11.8 fouls, and 2 offsides per game. Rijeka lags in ball control (53.8%), but commits slightly fewer yellow cards (2.2), more fouls (14.4), and is caught offside less often (1). In their last three matches, Hajduk Split played: 15.02.2026 Osijek - Hajduk Split 0-2, 07.02.2026 Hajduk Split - Slaven Belupo 2-0, 31.01.2026 HNK Gorica - Hajduk Split 1-0. Rijeka's recent games were: 19.02.2026 Omonia Nicosia - Rijeka 0-1, 14.02.2026 Rijeka - Varaždin 3-1, 08.02.2026 Rijeka - Dinamo Zagreb 0-0. Their last head-to-head meeting was on 22.11.2025: Rijeka - Hajduk Split 5-0.

How Many Goals to Expect?

Over the last 5 matches, Hajduk Split averages 2.2 goals per game, while Rijeka averages 2. Both teams score more than one goal on average: Hajduk Split - 1.4, Rijeka - 1.2, and concede 0.8 each. In the five-match series, the total over 2.5 goals occurred twice for each team, and under 3 times. In the first half, the total over 1.5 was seen twice for Hajduk Split, once for Rijeka, in the second half once for Hajduk Split, twice for Rijeka. Goal intervals show Hajduk Split scores most frequently in the first 15 minutes (33%) and concedes in the same period (40%). Rijeka has two scoring peaks: 16-30 and 61-75 minutes (29% each), and concedes most often towards the end (76-90 minutes, 75%). Based on the data, a bet on over 2.0 goals at 1.58 seems logical: both teams are capable of scoring, with averages close to 2.1-2.2, and the over 2.5 occurred in 2 out of 5 matches for each team. There is also support by halves and intervals, increasing the likelihood of at least two goals.

Corners: Numbers and Potential Bets

For corners, Hajduk Split averages 5.6 per match, Rijeka - 5.4, totaling 11. In the last five matches, the total corners over 9.5 occurred 3 times for both teams. Among available totals, 9.5 is closest to the average sum: over 9.5 corners is priced at 2.49, under 9.5 at 1.45. Hajduk Split is favored in corners with odds of 1.72. Expect active wing play, as both teams regularly deliver 5 or more corners, making a bet on over 9.5 reasonable given the attacking style of both sides.