Prediction for match Hajduk Split — Varazdin, 29.11.2025

Odds and Probabilities for the Match Outcome

In the upcoming match between Hajduk Split and Varazdin on November 29, 2025, in the HNL, bookmakers are quite confident in favoring Hajduk Split. The odds for their victory are set at 1.54, a draw is at 3.75, and a win for Varazdin is at 6.34. Looking at the probability distribution, Hajduk Split has a 60.48% chance of winning, a draw is estimated at 24.84%, and Varazdin is given a 14.69% chance. Among the totals, the line for over 2.5 goals with odds of 2.02 is the most interesting, while under 2.5 is priced at 1.75. This suggests that analysts expect moderate scoring, but there's no clear bias towards a low-scoring game. The option for both teams to score is 2.06 for yes and 1.68 for no. Thus, given the odds, the main interest lies in betting on the total goals, considering the attacking potential of both sides in recent matches.

Team Results and Statistics

Looking at the form of the teams over the last five games, Hajduk Split shows more confident numbers in several statistical parameters. Their average ball possession is 56%, noticeably higher than Varazdin's 44.4%. In terms of yellow cards, Hajduk has 1.2 compared to Varazdin's 1.6; for fouls, it's 12.4 versus 12.2, respectively. Hajduk Split averages 1.8 offsides per match, while Varazdin averages 0.8. Recent results for Hajduk include: 22.11.2025 Rijeka - Hajduk Split 5-0, 08.11.2025 Hajduk Split - Osijek 2-0, 02.11.2025 Slaven Belupo - Hajduk Split 0-0. Varazdin's last three matches are: 22.11.2025 Dinamo Zagreb - Varazdin 3-1, 09.11.2025 Varazdin - Rijeka 1-0, 02.11.2025 Osijek - Varazdin 0-0. The last head-to-head match was on 13.09.2025: Varazdin - Hajduk Split 2-0. In that match, the total over 2.5 did not come through. Previous encounters have seen both high-scoring and low-scoring outcomes, creating some intrigue for the goal forecast.

How Many Goals to Expect?

Analyzing the totals and goal distribution over the last five matches, both teams have seen over 2.5 goals in 3 out of 5 games. In the first half, more than 1.5 goals were recorded twice for Hajduk and three times for Varazdin, while in the second half, both teams had 2 instances of over 1.5 goals. The average goals scored and conceded for Hajduk are 1.6 and 1.2, respectively, while Varazdin's are 1.2 and 1.4. Hajduk Split averages 2.8 goals per match, and Varazdin averages 2.6. This indicates that matches involving both teams consistently feature at least 2-3 goals. In terms of timing, Hajduk Split most frequently scores between the 76th and 90th minutes (38%), while Varazdin scores most often between the 31st and 45th minutes (33%). Meanwhile, Varazdin concedes most often between the 31st and 60th minutes (29%), and Hajduk concedes evenly across all intervals (17%). Considering that over 2.5 goals occurred in 3 out of 5 matches for both sides, and the average goal figures exceed 2.5, a bet on over 2.5 goals at 2.02 seems justified. Additional support for this choice comes from the clear over-patterns in recent matches, especially in the overall goal tally and peak scoring intervals towards the end of the match.

Betting on Corners

In terms of corners, Hajduk Split significantly outperforms Varazdin, with an average of 6.6 per game compared to 3.4 for Varazdin. The frequency of over 9.5 total corners occurred 3 times out of 5 for both teams. Among the corner total lines, the closest to their combined average (10) is the total of 9.5: over 9.5 is at 2.50, under 9.5 is at 1.44. The odds for Hajduk to win on corners are 1.25. Based on the statistics, it makes sense to consider a bet on over 9.5 corners, given Hajduk's high activity in this component. It's also worth noting that Varazdin averages fewer than 4 corners per game, which could increase the skew in favor of Hajduk. In the last five matches, both teams hit the over 9.5 corner total three times, confirming a trend towards higher values in this aspect.