In the upcoming HNL match between HNK Rijeka and Lokomotiva Zagreb on March 1, 2026, analysts have marked Rijeka as the favorite. The odds for Rijeka's victory are 1.66, a draw is at 3.70, and Lokomotiva Zagreb's win is priced at 5.00. In terms of probability percentages, Rijeka's win is at 56.16%, a draw at 25.20%, and Lokomotiva Zagreb at 18.64%. The odds for over 2.5 goals are 1.95, and for under 2.5, it's 1.81. Additionally, both teams to score: yes is at 1.88, no at 1.82.
In their last three matches, Rijeka recorded the following results: on 26.02.2026 Rijeka defeated Omonia Nicosia 3-1, on 22.02.2026 Hajduk Split edged Rijeka 1-0, and on 19.02.2026 Rijeka beat Omonia Nicosia 1-0. Lokomotiva Zagreb's recent matches were: on 21.02.2026 Lokomotiva Zagreb won against Osijek 3-1, on 13.02.2026 Slaven Belupo defeated Lokomotiva Zagreb 2-0, and on 06.02.2026 Lokomotiva Zagreb triumphed over HNK Gorica 3-0. In their last head-to-head on 30.11.2025, Lokomotiva Zagreb and Rijeka drew 1-1. Over their last five matches, Rijeka averaged 50.4% possession, received 2 yellow cards, committed 12.6 fouls, and had 0.8 offsides per game. Lokomotiva Zagreb averaged 45.6% possession, received 1 yellow card, committed 12.8 fouls, and had 1.6 offsides.
In the last five games, Rijeka's average total goals per match is 2, while Lokomotiva Zagreb's is 2.8. Rijeka scores 1.4 and concedes 0.6 per match, while Lokomotiva Zagreb scores 1.8 and concedes 1. Regarding over 2.5 goals, Rijeka has seen it in 2 out of 5 matches, and Lokomotiva Zagreb in 3 out of 5. In the first half, over 1.5 goals occurred once in Rijeka's matches and twice in Lokomotiva Zagreb's. In the second half, Rijeka saw over 1.5 goals in 2 out of 5 matches, Lokomotiva Zagreb in 3 out of 5. Rijeka most often scores between the 46th-60th, 61st-75th, and 76th-90th minutes (25% each), while Lokomotiva Zagreb scores in the 46th-60th and 76th-90th minutes (27% each). Rijeka concedes most often in the closing stages (76th-90th minutes, 67%), Lokomotiva Zagreb in the 31st-45th minute (40%). Given both teams' scoring records and the fact that over 2.5 goals is as frequent as the under, a bet on over 2.5 goals at 1.95 seems justified.
Rijeka averages 3.8 corners per game, while Lokomotiva Zagreb averages 3.4. In their last five matches, both teams had over 9.5 corners in 2 out of 5 games. According to odds, over 7.5 corners is at 1.33, under 7.5 at 2.87. For an 8.5 corner total: over is at 1.64, under at 2.12. Rijeka is favored to win the corner count with odds at 1.32. Statistically, neither team shows extremely high corner numbers, so a bet on total corners in the 8-9 range looks logical. It's also worth noting that Rijeka tends to win more corners, as reflected in the odds for their victory in this aspect.
Sportwars.net Prediction for Rijeka vs Lokomotiva Zagreb, 01.03.2026 - Over 2.5 goals, odds 1.95. Correct Score: 2:1, odds 6.50.






