Prediction for match HNK Rijeka — Varazdin

Match Analysis: HNK Rijeka vs Varazdin

The HNK Rijeka vs Varazdin match in the HNL is scheduled for 14.02.2026. According to the 1X2 odds, Rijeka is favored: their win is priced at 1.72, a draw at 3.42, and a Varazdin victory at 5.02. The implied probabilities are as follows: Rijeka 54.18%, draw 27.25%, Varazdin 18.57%. These figures affirm Rijeka's status as the favorite. Additionally, the Both Teams to Score: No bet stands out at 1.71, reflecting analysts' cautious outlook on the scoring potential of both sides.

Team Results and Statistics

In their last five matches, Rijeka has averaged 55.2% possession, 1.6 yellow cards, 14 fouls, and 1.6 offsides per game. Varazdin, over the same period, has averaged 46.4% possession, 2.6 yellows, 11.4 fouls, and 0.6 offsides. Rijeka's last three matches were: 08.02.2026 - Rijeka vs Dinamo Zagreb - 0-0, 01.02.2026 - Osijek vs Rijeka - 1-0, 24.01.2026 - Rijeka vs Slaven Belupo - 2-2. Varazdin's last three encounters were: 08.02.2026 - Varazdin vs Osijek - 2-1, 31.01.2026 - Slaven Belupo vs Varazdin - 0-2, 26.01.2026 - HNK Gorica vs Varazdin - 1-2. The last head-to-head match between these teams was on 09.11.2025, ending in a 1-0 victory for Varazdin.

How Many Goals to Expect?

In their last five matches, Rijeka has an average total of 1.8 goals per match, while Varazdin averages 2.8. Rijeka scores an average of 1 goal per game and concedes 0.8, whereas Varazdin scores 1.4 and concedes 1.4. Regarding matches with over 2.5 goals: Rijeka has 2 out of 5, and Varazdin has 3 out of 5. By halves, Rijeka has only 1 out of 5 matches with over 1.5 goals in both halves, while Varazdin has 4 out of 5 in the first half and 2 out of 5 in the second. Rijeka distributes its goals evenly across five 15-minute intervals, each accounting for 20%, whereas Varazdin frequently scores between the 61st and 75th minute (50%). Rijeka most often concedes in the first 15 minutes (50%), while Varazdin concedes most between the 16th and 30th minute (38%). Despite Varazdin's higher average goal total, Rijeka's defense is notably more reliable and their matches tend to be low-scoring. Given that Rijeka has only surpassed the 2.5 goal mark twice in their last five matches, and both halves tend to be low-scoring, the bet on Both Teams to Score: No seems logical. The odds for Both Teams to Score: No are 1.71.

Corners: Numbers and Potential Bets

Rijeka averages 5.8 corners per game, while Varazdin averages 4.8. In their last five matches, both teams had 3 out of 5 matches with over 9.5 total corners. Considering the total corners close to their combined average (10.6), the line at 9.5 offers both outcomes: over 9.5 at 2.02, under 9.5 at 1.71. For the corner market, Rijeka is favored at 1.27. At least 9-10 corners are expected in the match, and a bet on over 9.5 corners seems justified given both teams' activity.