Prediction for match Holstein Kiel — Stuttgart, 04.02.2026

Match Analysis: Holstein Kiel vs Stuttgart

In the DFB Pokal on February 4, Holstein Kiel will face Stuttgart. According to the odds, Stuttgart is the favorite: their victory is priced at 1.56 with a probability of 63.02%. A draw is offered at 4.66 (21.10%), while Holstein Kiel's win is at 6.19 (15.88%). These numbers highlight Stuttgart's significant advantage in the bookmakers' expectations, which is also supported by the recent match statistics of both teams. The outcome expectations clearly lean towards the team that consistently earns points and shows higher scoring efficiency in recent games.

Team Results and Statistics

Looking at ball possession, Holstein Kiel has an average of 47.4% over the last five matches, while Stuttgart averages 58.8%. In terms of yellow cards, Holstein Kiel records 2.4 per game, Stuttgart - 1.6. Fouls are more common with Holstein Kiel at 12.4 compared to Stuttgart's 9.2, and offsides are 1.2 and 1 respectively. In their last three matches, Holstein Kiel played as follows: 31.01.2026 Holstein Kiel - Greuther Fürth 1-2, 23.01.2026 Arminia Bielefeld - Holstein Kiel 2-2, 18.01.2026 Holstein Kiel - Paderborn 07 2-0. Stuttgart's last three results were: 01.02.2026 Stuttgart - Freiburg 1-0, 29.01.2026 Stuttgart - Young Boys 3-2, 25.01.2026 Borussia M - Stuttgart 0-3. In their head-to-head match on March 8, 2025, the teams drew 2-2.

How Many Goals to Expect?

Over the last five matches, Holstein Kiel has an average total of 3.6 goals, while Stuttgart's is 2.6. Holstein Kiel scores an average of 2 goals per game, conceding 1.6, whereas Stuttgart averages 1.6 goals and concedes 1 per match. Regarding over 2.5 goals, Holstein Kiel achieved this in 4 out of 5, and Stuttgart in 2 out of 5. In the first half, Holstein Kiel had over 1.5 goals 3 times out of 5, Stuttgart 2 out of 5. In the second half, both teams have 3 occurrences of over 1.5 goals in 5 matches. Holstein Kiel most frequently scores between the 16-30, 31-45, 46-60, 61-75, and 76-90 minute marks, with 20% in each. Stuttgart most often scores in the first 15 minutes (38%) and at the end (76-90 minutes, also 38%). In terms of conceded goals, Holstein Kiel is most vulnerable between the 31-45 minute interval (38%), and Stuttgart between the 61-75 minute interval (33%). Considering Holstein Kiel's high average scoring and frequent over 2.5 goals, alongside both teams' not-so-reliable defenses, a bet on over 2.5 goals at 1.67 seems justified.

Corners: Numbers and Possible Bets

Holstein Kiel averages 4.8 corners per game, Stuttgart - 5. In the last five matches, Holstein Kiel's total corners over 9.5 occurred 4 times, Stuttgart's 2 times. For a total corners line of 9.5, over is priced at 2.00, and under at 1.77. Both teams are capable of creating chances at the opponent's goal, as confirmed by the frequency of over 9.5 corners for Holstein Kiel. It makes sense to consider a bet on over 9.5 corners, given both teams' attacking nature and their recent match activity.