Prediction for match Hull City — Derby County

Match Analysis: Hull City vs Derby County

In the English Championship on February 24, Hull City will face Derby County. The odds for the outcomes are as follows: Hull City win at 2.38, draw at 3.20, and Derby County win at 2.98. The probabilities are distributed as follows: Hull City - 39.33%, draw - 29.25%, Derby County - 31.41%. According to the odds, Hull City is slightly favored, but the difference between the teams is minimal, reflecting the balance of power in this matchup. The match promises to be tense, considering both teams have their strengths and can put up a fight.

Team Results and Statistics

In their last five matches, Hull City averages 45.8% possession, 2.2 yellow cards, 9.2 fouls, and 2 offsides per game. Derby County shows 47.2% possession, 2 yellow cards, 12.4 fouls, and 1.8 offsides. Hull City's last three matches: 21.02.2026 - Hull City vs QPR 1-3, 13.02.2026 - Hull City vs Chelsea 0-4, 07.02.2026 - Hull City vs Bristol City 2-3. For Derby County: 21.02.2026 - Watford vs Derby County 2-0, 14.02.2026 - Derby County vs Swansea City 2-0, 07.02.2026 - Derby County vs Ipswich Town 1-2. In their last head-to-head on 04.11.2025, Derby County defeated Hull City 2-1.

Goals and Match Statistics

In the last five games, both teams have an average total of 2.8 goals. Hull City scores an average of 0.8 and concedes 2, while Derby County scores 1.8 and concedes 1. For over 2.5 goals: Hull City had 3 out of 5 games go over, and Derby County had 2 out of 5. For the first half over 1.5, Hull City had 2 out of 5, and Derby County 1 out of 5. In the second half, both teams played 3 out of 5 over 1.5. Regarding goal timing: Hull City scores most frequently in the 16-30, 31-45, and 76-90 minute intervals (33% each), and concedes most often in the 31-45, 46-60, and 76-90 minute intervals (27% each). Derby County scores most frequently in the 61-75 minute interval (33%) and concedes in the last 15 minutes (38%). Overall, the profile of both teams leans towards scoring, especially in the second half. A logical choice seems to be betting on over 2.0 goals with odds of 1.53, considering the average goal statistics and frequency of over 2.5 goals.

Corners: Numbers and Possible Bets

On average, Hull City earns 5.4 corners per match, Derby County - 2.6. In the last five matches, Hull City played 4 out of 5 matches over 9.5 total corners, while Derby County only 1 out of 5. Considering the total corners, the closest to the average sum (8) is the 9.5 line. In the odds for this total, both options are present: over 9.5 corners - 2.45, under 9.5 - 1.50. Based on Hull City's average activity and Derby County's low corner count, betting on under 9.5 corners seems justified. It's also worth noting that Hull City often plays through the wings, increasing the number of corner kicks.