Prediction for match Varnamo — Mjallby, 03.11.2025

Odds and Probability Percentages for the Match Outcome

In the Allsvenskan match between Varnamo and Mjallby, scheduled for November 3, 2025, Mjallby stands out as the clear favorite. Mjallby is given odds of 1.57 to win, which translates to a 59.64% probability. A draw is priced at 4.33 with a 21.63% chance, while a Varnamo victory is at 5.00, with an 18.73% likelihood. This spread in percentages highlights the significant advantage for the visitors. Additionally, Mjallby is offered at 2.05 to win the first half, and 1.50 to score first. The odds for "both teams to score: yes" are 1.62, and for over 2.5 goals, it is 1.57. However, among all options, the main choice is Mjallby's victory with odds of 1.57.

Recent Matches Review

Looking at recent results, Varnamo has recorded 1 win, 1 draw, and 3 losses in their last 5 matches. A quick summary of their last three games: October 25 - Djurgarden 6-2 Varnamo, October 19 - Varnamo 1-1 Brommapojkarna, October 5 - AIK 2-3 Varnamo. Mjallby appears more stable in their five-match series: October 26 - Mjallby 2-1 Norrkoping, October 20 - Goteborg 0-2 Mjallby, October 4 - Mjallby 2-0 Elfsborg. On average, Varnamo registers 1.2 yellow cards, commits 9.8 fouls, is caught offside 1.2 times, and holds 48.6% possession over the last 5 games. Mjallby averages 1 yellow card, 11.4 fouls, 2 offsides, and 58.2% possession. In their last head-to-head on June 1, 2025, Mjallby defeated Varnamo 2-0, with the over 2.5 goals bet not coming in.

How Many Goals to Expect?

There's a notable difference in scoring: Varnamo's five-match series shows a very high average total of 5.4 goals per game, scoring 2.2 and conceding 3.2. In contrast, Mjallby plays more closed games, averaging 1.8 goals per game, scoring 1.6 and conceding only 0.2. Varnamo's over 2.5 goals bet hit in 4 out of 5 games, while Mjallby only once in 5. In the first half, Varnamo had over 1.5 goals in 4 out of 5 games, and in the second half, 5 out of 5. Mjallby by halves: 1 out of 5 for over 1.5 in each half. By intervals: Varnamo most often scores between the 76th and 90th minute (38%) and concedes between the 16th and 30th minute (36%). Mjallby is most effective between the 46th and 60th minute (50%) and concedes between the 16th and 30th minute (60%). Notably, Mjallby concedes only 0.2 goals per match on average, indicating a solid defense. Considering Mjallby's low conceding rate and their status as favorites, a bet on Mjallby to win seems justified. Meanwhile, the over 2.5 goals bet might not come through, as Mjallby rarely plays high-scoring games, and their solid defense could contain Varnamo's attacking potential.

Corner Bets

There's a noticeable contrast in corners: Varnamo averages 3.0 per game over 5 matches, while Mjallby averages 6.8. The frequency of over 9.5 corners for Varnamo is 3 out of 5, and for Mjallby, 2 out of 5. The odds for over 10.5 corners are 1.73, and under 10.5 are 2.00. Mjallby to win on corners is priced at 1.44, which is logical given the average difference in corners taken. Also, Varnamo's total under 4.5 corners is priced at 1.73, and Mjallby's total over 6.5 is at 1.91. A bet on Mjallby to win on corners seems justified, considering their average number and consistency in this component.