Prediction for match Independiente del Valle — Atletico Mineiro, 22.10.2025

Match Analysis: Independiente del Valle vs Atletico Mineiro

In the CONMEBOL Sudamericana on October 22, Independiente del Valle will face Atletico Mineiro. The odds for an Independiente del Valle win are 1.85, a draw is at 3.30, and an Atletico Mineiro victory is valued at 4.50. Probability distribution shows: Independiente del Valle at 50.72%, a draw at 28.43%, and Atletico Mineiro at 20.85%. Independiente del Valle is the favorite, as confirmed by both the odds and percentage difference.

Team Results and Statistics

In their last five matches, Independiente del Valle averages 1.8 goals scored and 0.6 conceded, with an overall match goal average of 2.4. Atletico Mineiro, in the same period, averages 0.8 goals per match, concedes 1.2, with an average total of 2 goals per game. In their last game, Independiente del Valle defeated Orense 2-1 (17.10.2025), following a big win against Barcelona SC 3-0 (05.10.2025). Atletico Mineiro lost to Corinthians 0-1 (18.10.2025), and before that, they drew 1-1 with Cruzeiro (16.10.2025). In head-to-head encounters: on 19.05.2022, Atletico Mineiro won 3-1, and on 27.04.2022, there was a 1-1 draw.

How Many Goals to Expect?

In the last 5 matches, Independiente del Valle exceeded 2.5 goals three times, while Atletico Mineiro did so twice. Average goals: Independiente del Valle 2.4, Atletico Mineiro 2. Independiente del Valle tends to score more often between the 76th and 90th minutes (67%), while Atletico Mineiro scores between the 46th and 60th minutes (38%). In terms of goals conceded: Independiente del Valle - 44% between the 16th and 30th minutes, Atletico Mineiro - 50% in both the 46th-60th and 76th-90th minute intervals. Both teams more frequently have a second half total over 1.5 goals: Independiente del Valle 2 over and 3 under, Atletico Mineiro 3 over and 2 under.

Corner Statistics

On average, in the last five games, Independiente del Valle takes 4.2 corners, while Atletico Mineiro takes 3.4. The frequency of total corners over 9.5 is minimal: both teams only had a total over 9.5 once in 5 matches. Odds for corners: total over 9.5 is at 1.83, the same odds for under 9.5. Independiente del Valle is favored to win on corners at odds of 1.44.