Prediction for match Independiente Medellin — Cusco

Odds and Probability Percentages for Match Outcome

In the Copa Libertadores on May 1, 2026, Independiente Medellin will face Cusco. The 1X2 odds are as follows: Independiente Medellin’s win is priced at 1.37, a draw at 5.08, and a Cusco victory at 8.80. According to probabilities, Independiente Medellin has a 70.16% chance of winning, a draw is at 18.92%, and Cusco has a 10.92% chance. The most likely outcome is a success for Independiente Medellin, but since the odds for this are below 1.50, it’s worth considering goal totals for the main bet, where there are options with odds above 1.50.

Team Results and Statistics

Independiente Medellin has won their last three matches: 26.04.2026 - Independiente Medellin vs Fortaleza Sipicara - 1-0, 22.04.2026 - Independiente Medellin vs Boyaca Chico - 2-0, 19.04.2026 - Alianza Petrolera vs Independiente Medellin - 0-1. Cusco's recent results are: 26.04.2026 - Cusco vs Sport Huancayo - 2-1, 22.04.2026 - Cusco vs FC Cajamarca - 1-0, 19.04.2026 - Alianza Lima vs Cusco - 8-0. In additional metrics over a five-match span, Independiente Medellin averages 49% possession, 2.4 yellow cards, 10 fouls, and 0.8 offsides per game. Cusco shows 51.8% possession, 1.8 yellow cards, 8.8 fouls, and 2 offsides per match. There are no recent head-to-head results between these teams.

How Many Goals to Expect?

Over the last five matches, Independiente Medellin has an average total of 2.8 goals per game, scoring and conceding 1.4 each. Cusco has a higher average of 3.4 goals per game but scores only 0.8 while conceding 2.6. In the last five matches, Independiente Medellin had 2 out of 5 games with over 2.5 goals, and Cusco had 3 out of 5. For first-half goals, both teams had 3 out of 5 games with over 1.5 goals, while in the second half, Independiente Medellin had only 1 out of 5, and Cusco had 2 out of 5. Independiente Medellin most frequently scores in the 0-15, 16-30, 31-45, and 76-90 minute intervals - 22% each. Cusco often scores between 46-60 minutes (38%). In terms of goals conceded, Independiente Medellin is most vulnerable in the first 15 minutes (40%) and at the end of the first half (31-45 minutes - 40%). Cusco concedes evenly at 25% in four different intervals: 16-30, 31-45, 46-60, and 76-90 minutes. Overall, both teams have goal totals around 2.8-3.4 per match, with Cusco regularly conceding and Independiente Medellin consistently scoring. The most logical bet seems to be over 2.5 goals at 1.70, considering both teams tend to play high-scoring matches, and Cusco often features in games with large scorelines.

Analysis of Corner Totals

Independiente Medellin averages 3.6 corners per game over the last five matches, while Cusco averages 2.8. For the total of 9.5 corners, Independiente Medellin had 2 out of 5 matches with over, and Cusco had 1 out of 5. Considering the corner totals, the line of 8.5 is closest to the combined average of both teams (6.4). The odds for this total are: over 8.5 - 1.63, under 8.5 - 2.10. For the corner outcome, Independiente Medellin is the favorite with odds of 1.20. Given the average activity of both teams in taking corners and the not-so-high frequency of large totals, a bet on over 8.5 corners seems justified, but a highly prolific game in this aspect should not be expected.