Prediction for match Inter — Atalanta

Odds and Probability Percentages for the Match Outcome

In Serie A on 14.03.2026, Inter will face Atalanta. According to the 1X2 odds, an Inter victory is priced at 1.58, a draw at 4.70, and an Atalanta win at 5.82. The probabilities are distributed as follows: 62.20% for an Inter win, 20.91% for a draw, and 16.89% for an Atalanta victory. Inter is the favorite according to both the odds and probabilities, a fact supported by the statistics from recent head-to-head encounters between these teams. While there are options for totals and individual performances for both teams, Inter's victory stands out as the main prediction with odds above 1.50.

Team Results and Statistics

In their last three matches, Inter played as follows: 08.03.2026 - Milan - Inter 1-0, 03.03.2026 - Como - Inter 0-0, 28.02.2026 - Inter - Genoa 2-0. Atalanta's recent matches were: 10.03.2026 - Atalanta - Bayern 1-6, 07.03.2026 - Atalanta - Udinese 2-2, 04.03.2026 - Lazio - Atalanta 2-2. In their last head-to-head on 28.12.2025, Atalanta lost to Inter 0-1. In additional metrics, Inter held possession for an average of 61.4% in their last five matches, committed 11.2 fouls, recorded 2.6 offsides, and received 1.2 yellow cards per game. Atalanta had 54% possession, 12.2 fouls, 1.8 offsides, and 1.6 yellow cards over the same period. These figures show that Inter controls the ball more and commits fewer fouls, while Atalanta plays slightly more aggressively.

How Many Goals to Expect?

In a five-match series, Inter's average total goals per game is 1.6, while Atalanta's is 4.6. Inter scored an average of 1 goal, conceding 0.6, while Atalanta scored 2 goals and conceded 2.6. For over 2.5 total goals, Inter had only 1 out of 5 matches go over, while Atalanta had 5 out of 5. In the first half, Inter had no matches go over 1.5, while Atalanta had 2 out of 5. In the second half, Inter had 2 out of 5 over 1.5, and Atalanta had 5 out of 5. In terms of goal intervals, Inter most frequently scores between the 31st and 45th minutes (50%), while Atalanta scores between the 76th and 90th minutes (36%). Inter concedes most often between the 61st and 75th minutes (50%), and Atalanta concedes 25% of their goals between the 46th and 60th and 61st and 75th minutes. Despite Atalanta's high scoring, Inter's defense appears reliable, and their opponents' low scoring in recent matches supports a bet on an Inter win, especially considering their defensive stability and goal balance.

Analysis of Corner Totals

Inter averages 8.6 corners per match, while Atalanta averages 6. For over 9.5 corners, Inter had 3 out of 5 matches go over, and Atalanta had 2 out of 5. The line closest to the sum of their average figures (14.6) is 9.5. Odds for over 9.5 corners are 1.82, and for under 9.5, 1.88. Inter is the favorite in corner outcomes with odds of 1.30. Both teams are expected to actively use the flanks, making a bet on over 9.5 corners logical given the average values of both teams and the frequency of Inter's over matches.