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Prediction for match Inter — Genoa

Match prediction Inter — Genoa, Serie A, 28.02.2026

Odds and Probability of Match Outcomes

On February 28, a Serie A match will take place between Inter and Genoa. The odds for the outcomes are as follows: Inter's win is at 1.36, a draw is valued at 5.57, and Genoa's victory is at 9.90. In terms of probabilities reflecting the balance of power: Inter - 72.38%, draw - 17.67%, Genoa - 9.94%. This indicates a clear advantage for Inter, but a draw cannot be ruled out given the nearly 18% probability. Genoa is a clear underdog, but the team is capable of springing a surprise considering their recent performance.

Team Results and Statistics

Inter has shown strong form in their last five matches: on February 24, they lost to Bodø/Glimt 1-2, on February 21, they beat Lecce 2-0, on February 18, they lost to Bodø/Glimt 1-3, on February 14, they defeated Juventus 3-2, and on February 8, they thrashed Sassuolo 5-0. Genoa, in a similar period, on February 22, won against Torino 3-0, on February 15, drew with Cremonese 0-0, on February 7, lost to Napoli 2-3, on January 30, lost to Lazio 2-3, and on January 25, beat Bologna 3-2. In their head-to-head on December 14, 2025, Genoa and Inter played 1-2. Additional stats: Inter averages 63.8% possession, 1.6 yellow cards, 10 fouls, and 1.8 offsides per game; Genoa - 52.2% possession, 1.4 yellow cards, 12.6 fouls, and 0.8 offsides.

How Many Goals Will Be in the Inter vs Genoa Match

Both teams are displaying goal-scoring football in their five-match series. Inter's average total goals per match is 3.8, while Genoa's is 3.6. In the last five matches, Inter exceeded the total over 2.5 goals four times, as did Genoa in four out of five. By halves, Inter has three occurrences over 1.5 in the first half and five out of five over 1.5 in the second half. Genoa has two occurrences over 1.5 in the first half and three in the second. In terms of scoring intervals: Inter most frequently scores between the 76th and 90th minutes (43%), while Genoa also scores late (76-90, 36%). Inter's conceded goals are distributed across three intervals: 16-30, 46-60, and 76-90 (25% each), while Genoa's are in the 16-30 and 61-75 (29% each). Considering both teams' consistent over-profile, frequent over 2.5 occurrences, and high average scoring, a bet on over 2.5 total goals seems logical. The odds for this event are 1.74.

Corners: Numbers and Possible Bets

Inter averages 7.8 corners per match, Genoa - 4.8. In the five-match series, Inter has three occurrences over 9.5 corners, Genoa has one. Summing up the averages gives 12.6, which is noticeably higher than standard totals. Among the available totals for corners, there's a pair for 9.5: over 9.5 is at 1.86, under 9.5 is at 1.88. For the outcome on corners, Inter is the favorite with odds of 1.08. Based on the statistics, a bet on over 9.5 corners seems justified, considering Inter's attacking style and Genoa's decent contribution to this metric.

Sportwars.net prediction for the Inter vs Genoa match on 28.02.2026 - Total over 2.5, odds 1.74. Exact score: 2:1, odds 8.00.
28.02.26
20:45
Inter
Inter
-
Genoa
Genoa
-
Tip:
Over 2.5
Odds:
1.74
Author: Sportwars AI Model
The prediction is based on recent match statistics, head-to-head results, and the current form of the teams. The text and data have been verified by the website team.
26.02.26, 18:14
* statistical data are taken from the match page section Teams stats comparison

Other predictions

In the Serie A match between Parma and Cagliari, bookmakers have Parma's victory at odds of 2.58, a draw at 2.97, and Cagliari's win at 3.44. Probabilities are distributed as follows: Parma - 38.19%, draw - 33.17%, Cagliari - 28.64%. A tough game is expected with moderate scoring and a focus on midfield battles.
25.02.26, 18:03
In the Serie A match between Como and Lecce, bookmakers clearly favor Como: their victory is priced at 1.42, a draw at 4.86, and Lecce's success at 9.40. Probabilities: 69.29% for Como's win, 20.24% for a draw, and 10.47% for Lecce. Main prediction: total under 2.5 goals at 1.90.
26.02.26, 18:12
In the Serie A match between Verona and Napoli on 28.02.2026, bookmakers clearly favor Napoli: their win is priced at 1.56 with a 63.00% chance. Verona is given a 13.54% chance, and a draw is at 23.46%. Napoli's success seems the most likely outcome, considering the odds and percentages.
26.02.26, 18:13
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