On February 28, a Serie A match will take place between Inter and Genoa. The odds for the outcomes are as follows: Inter's win is at 1.36, a draw is valued at 5.57, and Genoa's victory is at 9.90. In terms of probabilities reflecting the balance of power: Inter - 72.38%, draw - 17.67%, Genoa - 9.94%. This indicates a clear advantage for Inter, but a draw cannot be ruled out given the nearly 18% probability. Genoa is a clear underdog, but the team is capable of springing a surprise considering their recent performance.
Inter has shown strong form in their last five matches: on February 24, they lost to Bodø/Glimt 1-2, on February 21, they beat Lecce 2-0, on February 18, they lost to Bodø/Glimt 1-3, on February 14, they defeated Juventus 3-2, and on February 8, they thrashed Sassuolo 5-0. Genoa, in a similar period, on February 22, won against Torino 3-0, on February 15, drew with Cremonese 0-0, on February 7, lost to Napoli 2-3, on January 30, lost to Lazio 2-3, and on January 25, beat Bologna 3-2. In their head-to-head on December 14, 2025, Genoa and Inter played 1-2. Additional stats: Inter averages 63.8% possession, 1.6 yellow cards, 10 fouls, and 1.8 offsides per game; Genoa - 52.2% possession, 1.4 yellow cards, 12.6 fouls, and 0.8 offsides.
Both teams are displaying goal-scoring football in their five-match series. Inter's average total goals per match is 3.8, while Genoa's is 3.6. In the last five matches, Inter exceeded the total over 2.5 goals four times, as did Genoa in four out of five. By halves, Inter has three occurrences over 1.5 in the first half and five out of five over 1.5 in the second half. Genoa has two occurrences over 1.5 in the first half and three in the second. In terms of scoring intervals: Inter most frequently scores between the 76th and 90th minutes (43%), while Genoa also scores late (76-90, 36%). Inter's conceded goals are distributed across three intervals: 16-30, 46-60, and 76-90 (25% each), while Genoa's are in the 16-30 and 61-75 (29% each). Considering both teams' consistent over-profile, frequent over 2.5 occurrences, and high average scoring, a bet on over 2.5 total goals seems logical. The odds for this event are 1.74.
Inter averages 7.8 corners per match, Genoa - 4.8. In the five-match series, Inter has three occurrences over 9.5 corners, Genoa has one. Summing up the averages gives 12.6, which is noticeably higher than standard totals. Among the available totals for corners, there's a pair for 9.5: over 9.5 is at 1.86, under 9.5 is at 1.88. For the outcome on corners, Inter is the favorite with odds of 1.08. Based on the statistics, a bet on over 9.5 corners seems justified, considering Inter's attacking style and Genoa's decent contribution to this metric.
Sportwars.net prediction for the Inter vs Genoa match on 28.02.2026 - Total over 2.5, odds 1.74. Exact score: 2:1, odds 8.00.


