Prediction for match Inter — Napoli, 11.01.2026

Match Analysis: Inter vs Napoli

On January 11, Inter will face Napoli in Serie A. The odds for an Inter victory are 1.81, a draw is at 3.70, and a Napoli win is priced at 5.16. Inter's chances of winning are estimated at 54.35%, a draw at 26.59%, and Napoli's win probability at 19.06%. Inter is the favorite according to the odds and percentages, reflecting their strong form in recent matches. Despite the lower probability, Napoli still has a chance for a positive outcome.

Team Results and Statistics

In a series of five matches, Inter has an average possession of 59.6%, yellow cards - 2, fouls - 16.8, offsides - 2.4. Napoli's stats show possession at 55.4%, yellow cards - 1.2, fouls - 10.4, offsides - 1.6. Inter's last three matches: January 7 - Parma vs Inter - 0-2, January 4 - Inter vs Bologna - 3-1, December 28 - Atalanta vs Inter - 0-1. Napoli's recent games: January 7 - Napoli vs Verona - 2-2, January 4 - Lazio vs Napoli - 0-2, December 28 - Cremonese vs Napoli - 0-2. In their last head-to-head on October 25, 2025, Napoli defeated Inter 3-1.

Goals in Match Statistics

Both teams average 2.4 goals over 5 matches. Inter scores an average of 1.8 and concedes 0.6, while Napoli scores 2 and concedes 0.4. In a five-match series, Inter had over 2.5 goals twice, under 3 times, and Napoli had over once, under four times. In the first half, Inter had over 1.5 goals in 2 out of 5 matches, Napoli in 3 of 5. In the second half, both teams recorded over 1.5 goals only once in 5 matches. Inter frequently scores between the 31st-45th and 61st-75th minutes (40% each), while Napoli scores between the 31st-45th and 46th-60th minutes (33% each). Inter concedes evenly across three intervals: 0-15, 31-45, and 76-90 minutes (29% each). Napoli mostly concedes in the first 45 minutes (33% in each of the three intervals). Overall, both teams demonstrate solid defense, with rare occurrences of high-scoring games, especially for Napoli. Opting for under 2.5 goals at 1.82 seems logical, given the low scoring in recent matches and the defensive resilience.

Corners: Numbers and Possible Bets

Inter averages 6.2 corners over 5 matches, Napoli 6.8. Both teams have seen over 9.5 corners in 2 out of 5 matches. The closest total to the average is 13, but lines offer totals of 9, 9.25, 9.5, 9.75, 10, 10.25, 10.5, 10.75, 11, 11.25, 11.5. For a 9.5 total, the odds are: over 9.5 - 2.04, under 9.5 - 1.93. Inter is the favorite for corners at 1.53. Both teams are expected to be active in taking corners, supported by the average figures. A bet on over 9.5 corners seems justified given the dynamics of both teams.